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What NBA Draft history says about Ainge’s picks and 9, 16, and 28



Leif Thulin goes through the last 10 years of drafts and compares where the Jazz pick this year with what has happened in history and how Danny Ainge has fared drafting in those areas in years past. Leif creates a scale to rank a draft pick relative to where they were selected for the past 10 years at 9, 16 and 28 and then compares who Ainge selected in those ranges with the same scale. See how Danny Ainge and the rest of the NBA have selected in the spots the Jazz occupy.

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11 Comments

  1. How confident are you in Ainge finding a star and how confident are you that he drafts a long term impactful player at pick 9 and 16?

  2. Ainge would never be pathetic as Lindsey was. From Exum, Rodney Hoods of the world, Dok over Bane and so many others. He was way too lucky with the Donovan draft

  3. I think you should have looked more at 2011-2020 drafts for historical success, to remove recency bias and noise from the data. Rookies and 2nd year players haven't mostly found their place in the league yet.

  4. I actually think there are alot of potential 3's in this draft, but I think it will depend on what team they fall to.

  5. Should jazz consider taking on bad contracts again?
    Would it be worth taking on rozier and or Hayward?
    Is it worth going after naz reid? I like 👍 him.
    Do you think brown will leave boston for demanding a max or will boston trade him while their is peak interest? Is brown worth three or four picks to get?
    Could see scenario where hornets get brown and jazz get 2nd pick as both teams move assets to boston.
    Is Demar worth pursuing or the third pick ?
    Lots of thoughts and strategies but it comes down to philosophy.

  6. This feels like a deeper first round than usual. I might get burned in feeling this, but it feels like we have so many good options at 9 and 16.

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