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Proving that Draymond Green gets ejected MORE OFTEN when Steph Curry is not playing (using simulation):



***CONTEXT:***

Draymond has played 924 games in his entire career (Via StatMuse).

Without Steph Curry: **127 (\~13.7%)**

With Steph Curry: **797 (\~86.3%)**

% of games ejected from: **1.9%**

Ejected with Steph Curry: **1.5%**

Ejected without Steph Curry: **4.7%** (already a big difference)

***METHOD:***

I simulated Draymond Green’s entire career 35,000 times (my computer was dying lol) to see if we could reasonably expect an ejection rate of 4.7% WITHOUT Steph if he truly has the same probability of ejection WITH Steph (is the variation just due to random chance).

***RESULTS:*** (Graph of simulation [here](https://imgur.com/CDHepy7))

Essentially an ejection rate of 4.7% in games without Steph is **ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE** if the probability of ejection is the same as when Draymond is with Steph. The chance is so so slim that we have to conclude that **Steph not being in a game dramatically increases the likelihood of Draymond getting ejected**. So, Gobert is probably right.

​

Code for anyone interested: [Google Drive Link](https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Lxu-z_nTmKO1jc7t5JXHBHWpf0wfXLFZ/view?usp=sharing)

by Cmahones03

5 Comments

  1. Upvoted for the effort alone lmao, bro’s even got a graph

  2. HamsterCapable4118

    Nice work.

    A 4.7% ejection rate is insane.

  3. CampingTrees

    Dray is definitely retiring the same day as Steph lmao

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