Are Thunder or Timberwolves a more serious NBA title contender? | Hoops Tonight
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So you guys don’t miss any of our content over the course of this season all right let’s talk some basketball who is a more serious title Contender the Oklahoma City Thunder or the Minnesota Timberwolves we’ll start with Logan I am uh amidst the YouTube video in which I’m I’m actually working on a
Take similar to this uh for me it’s Minnesota and as it stands Minnesota is my number two team out west right now and uh the reason for that again this is subject to change because I think the Warriors and Lakers both need to make major tread uh trade deadline moves
Depending on how they reconfigure their roster again they could still jump up in there um I’m skeptical about the Clippers sons and Kings for two-way value stuff like that and I really believe in this defense and they ability to slow down uh any Western Conference
Foe that they run into and I think when you look at Minnesota the majority of the losses that they have suffered this year it’s been down to really three reasons and again you can you can blanket statement uh these keys for for a lot of NBA games but it’s been evident
With Minnesota it’s lack ofical turnovers it’s poor effort defensively and it’s been RedHot shooting Nights from their opponents uh five of the seven losses that Minnesota has suffered has been when a team has had a true shooting percentage of 60% or better again you can make that mostly again a
Blanket statement for a lot of losses that team suffer but it’s been evident with Minnesota the one advantage I will give Oklahoma City concretely over Minnesota at this point is their halfcourt offense creation and their just depth of weapons offensively I think that really could be the marginal uh difference in a series
That you know Carl Anthony Tal’s gonna have to pull his weight Anthony Edwards is going to have to consistently reach that Superstar level which he has done on big stages but that’s still the biggest um variable here when Oklahoma City SGA can have an off night and CET
Can take over knocking down shots getting to the rack he’s so good Jaylen Williams dropped you know 36 the other night um he’s a 90th percentile isolation player this season an isolation possession from Jaylen Williams is worth 1.24 points that’s absurd he’s a 72 percentile pick and roll ball handler like Point Blank
Minnesota just does not have the depth of offensive weapons that Oklahoma City does and Oklahoma City is a damn good defense too so I’m I guess I’m going to say I want to hit the pause button here because I want one more month I think Oklahoma City and Minnesota like Golden
State and LA need to do something at the deadline I think the majority of teams across the league need to make a move to get marginally better at the deadline uh Oklahoma City finding a secondary or tertiary offensive weapon another one to put them over the top I know both of you
Guys have discussed lri marinan would be awesome if they could make a swing for him with their picks and then I think Minnesota needs to make another swing too to put themselves over the top to keep Pace because again I think they have the defensive personnel and the
Physical advantages to stifle LA to limit Denver just a little bit to open the door but they are just in a different class offensively than Denver Denver is in a different tier so for me I think Minnesota I like Minnesota more because they’re defensive ceiling but
They have to make a move at the deadline I’m shopping Kyle Anderson naw I’m shopping Shake Milton uh Troy Brown Jr and picks like whatever I can whatever move I can make to get another bench piece or another option offensively to give me easy offense come playoff time is what I’m doing
But I think I’m just marginally like uh Minnesota more because of their defensive consistency but Oklahoma City is a damn good Contender too I I legit buy into both of these teams potentially making a a playoff run yeah I love both of these teams I am so so high on the
Thunder I think this is as bright a future from a young team as we have seen since sh ER the Thunder just over a decade ago when they had Harden Russ and KD Sam prey man I hope that he gets his ring cuz he is as brilliant a player
Evaluator as we have seen in this league he just Nails draft pick after draft pick after draft pick and he makes very good value trades but at some point you got to put it all together and get that ring and reach the actual apex of the
Sport I mean Jason you remember I was crazy high on Chad as a prospect I said he was the best guy who I had ever been able to really evaluate I love Shay I think Jaylen is even underrated like I think he’s a perennial third star he is
Rarely good for a second-year guy they’re awesome but right now it’s Minnesota I think there’s a few concrete reasons for that number one is how well they match up physically against the big Elite teams in the west I think that is going to be a very important component
Just with the way that the best teams in the league have gone you are looking at Big athletic strong front courts and Minnesota is the epitome of that with their two big looks and they’re just really athletic all around with Jaden McDaniels and anony Edwards and OKC is
Very athletic but in the front Court they’re slight they’re 29th in rebound rate this year and I think teams like the nuggets the Lakers can expose that ched is an unbelievable pure rim protector his timing his length and all that but he’s not an elite rebounding
Five and I just think that level of strength really presents problems for OKC on the interior whereas Minnesota they have as good a formula for guarding aniko yic as anybody does in the League put cat on him that’s a really big body you have goar there and help they’re
Going to match up on the glass against anybody I think that that matters in Playoff scenarios especially looking at the competition out west I also think they have a depth Advantage it’s good for both these teams but they are seven deep with damn good players and we talk about the lack of
Redundancies I think Minnesota’s put together a really nice complimentary basketball team I had offensive concerns about playing cat alongside a true five but I think that you are looking at a lot of guys who fill specific roles goar as this defensive anchor Pat as a guy
Who can help defend on the interior and then can do various things offensively attacking mismatches killing you with his shooting Jaden is just this awesome three and D Wing ant is your go out there number one sort of offensive option from the perimeter awesome athlete and then Conley is just this
Highlevel facilitator smart veteran guy going to shoot the ball really well so on top of this big three they have of Star level guys they’ve got two really good almost perfect role players in the starting five and then Kyle Anderson and Nas Reed are super valuable bench pieces
You just have a versatile two-way guy in Anderson and then as explosive a scoring bench big as there is in the league in NS Reed whereas I look at OKC and I’m like boy I love Kayon Off the Bench I love Isaiah Joe Off the Bench those guys
Are really good are they as multifaceted maybe as some of these more veteran guys who we’re talking about that’s a question but honestly my concerns are maybe more with a couple of the guys in the starting five like as long as Josh giddy is closing games and playing 25
Minutes a game I think that’s a problem I just think he is not very good and this was always my problem with him being the number six pick in the draft he’s in a player archetype that we haven’t seen successful in the league ever like his passing is awesome but to
Be a really good offensive player in the NBA today you have to be a highlevel threat both as a score and and a passer and this is a guy who is a below average athlete who has Bad Touch who has a broken jump shot who is going to be a
Negative defensively I mean we’re seeing it this year right he’s giving you 11 a night on 50% true shooting I think he takes the offense out of rhythm I don’t think he holds defenses accountable as a spot up shooter I think he is going to be an addition by subtraction situation
If they can move off of him and then even a guy like Lou Dort who has been awesome this year he is shooting the hell out of the ball I’ve just seen too many times from him in the past where he gets in these stretches where it’s brick
After brick after brick and that can be a question of shot selection so I don’t have the same level of Faith with those fourth and fifth guys that I do with the Minnesota dudes who just excel in their roles and then they are much more experienced Mike Conley has been in
Multiple deep playoff runs as has Kyle Anderson gobear has been to the second round a few times Hadad and ant have at least been to the playoffs multiple times teams don’t win titles when nobody on their team has real play experience and that is the case for OKC Shay has
Been there sure but he’s never been there as the guy Lou has been in one playoff series and that’s it that’s the entirety of the playoff experience on this roster in this rotation outside of Isaiah Joe being a garbage time guy in Philly that doesn’t count there’s maybe
One exception historically to that rule that being the 1977 Blazers very young team but overwhelmingly it certainly helps to have been there before to have been in those battles and there’s a physical maturity with Minnesota along with that mental maturity I just think they scale better to a playoff setting
Right now but long term boy I am high on what OKC can do yeah that last part is is literally the take that I came into this with when I was prepping this morning like I think Oklahoma City is going to be awesome for a really long
Time yeah I think they aren’t going to make the mistakes they made early on with the with James Harden they are uh they have a lot of very specific pieces that I look at with championship contention like diversity of shot creation diversity of defensive scheme that they can run they like Chad holgren
I think legitimately has the potential to be the best player in the world one day like they have they have so much upside it’s not even funny but there’s just two big red flags for me like uh the western conference is huge on the front line and they are tiny and uh
Everything we know about NBA history tells us that the longer you get into a playoff series that’s where physical matchups matter more and more I know I I’m in some trouble with ther fans cuz I did my power rankings before the the Minnesota win and I said I don’t think
Oklahoma City is capable of beating Minnesota LA or Denver four times out of seven because of the Frontline size mismatches and then they beat the out of Minnesota and of of course I look silly but but genuinely speaking when you get to the to the uh to the playoffs
And you get into a seven game setting the whistle gets a little tighter it becomes a more physical game I just am worried about them on the front line and then that second piece of it is like I mean shout out to the 1977 Blazers but but shout out to but like
Kids don’t win in the NBA they just don’t they they sometimes kids make some noise but kids don’t win in the NBA and when they do it’s like 26 27 years old and they’re surrounded by vets usually at that point this team has not just a lack of Championship experience they
Have a lack or lack of playoff experience I should say they have a lack of basketball experience these are all kids these are young young basketball players and so I when I look at that those are just giant red flags for me that say like Hey listen to what NBA
History tells you doesn’t mean they can’t win it just means they would be beating the odds it’s kind of like and for the record the Counterpoint there is what happened with Denver last year we have never not in recent NBA history it had been decad since we saw a non-ending
Champion non-top 10 defense be able to you know win the the NBA championship and they won comfortably and often on the strength of their defense so like literally it was it’s it it can be done it’s just I think I think Denver is more of the exception to the rule and we also
Have to account for the fact that joic is the best player in the world right now and I as good as Shay is I don’t believe he is uh the looking at Minnesota they have a big red flag too that I always look at which is they’re
Really bad at Court offense um in general like when things get super physical like having a bunch of guys that are capable of of of really high level clothes at attacking and having two really high-end uh shot creators are are really important and I’m not saying
That ant’s not capable of that but that certainly is a concern for me but to your point Carson they have two massive green flags which is they have a lot of experience and they’re huge and those are just two very very important pieces to to a playoff run I don’t view either
Of them as top tier contenders I look at I still only think Boston and Denver are capable of saying like hey we have like a really good chance of winning this year I think everybody else is like is like long shot chance pending a good trade like and where good trade could
Potentially Vault them into that that next level but yeah I again it’s not an anti- Oklahoma City take I have a ton of fun watching Oklahoma City dude Jaylen Williams was cooking the New York Knicks last night just cooking him like he was pulling Todd Gibson out into switches
And barbecuing him he was uh uh utilizing the pick and pop with chat holr and getting open looks he started picking on Julius Randall and switches like the kid is insanely good and he he’s on a a stretch here just in the last like couple of weeks he’s really
Turned up the scoring volume and efficiency last nine games Jaylen Williams 20 points per game 57% from the field 53 % from three 86% from the line and Logan you mentioned his isolation numbers which have been off the charts like they are freaking awesome it’s just
This is not their year I I just I like I think they’ll I think they’ll give somebody a really tough fight they’ll have some moments where they win a game in OKC and you’re like man these guys are going to be a problem for a long
Time but just game five game six game seven it’s just going to be the bigger stronger teams that kind of wear them down uh I I know they’ve had some success against the bigger teams in a regular season sample but I do think that they’ve probably been one of the
Best effort and consistency teams this year which is obviously go which is like they’re like to me a much better version of the Memphis Grizzlies team from the last couple of years that was really good in the regular season but I didn’t I wasn’t as optimistic about their highend long-term Potential a
Jason Timpf is joined by the guys over at Nerd Sesh to discuss the impressive starts from Chet Holmgren and the Oklahoma City Thunder and Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The guys discuss whether or not they can make deep runs in the playoffs this year, or if they are too inexperienced to be legit contenders.
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23 Comments
What are your thoughts on the Aaron Gordon situation
This show can’t go a single segment without mentioning warriors/lakers. Every single segment religiously smh
Get off t wolves nutz. They wont be but a 6 or 7 seed when its all done. Okc get hate
The Wolves, Nuggets and the Lakers would all be tough outs for OKC. With that being said, OKC is just hitting their stride. They are the second youngest team in the NBA that is still figuring it out. Watch out for the roar of the Thunder🔥⚡️
Would the Lakers be able to get someone like a Doug McDermott and how are his numbers defensively just to come on at hit some 3’s
"as long as josh giddey is closing games…" shows you like most dont watch the thunder. He never closes games haha
Well the past 20 years would tell you that the wolves won’t win shit. OKC has a better future due to all of their players being good and young with a lot of 1st round picks.
Timberwolves right now, Thunder in two to three years
My mans thought he could wear a hat referencing The Curse with Nathan Fielder and I wouldn’t notice…👀
This dude’s voice is so annoying
It would mean a lot to me if you cover the Bucks more
i agree the wolves are slightly better rn. i think the nuggets clippers thunder wolves are the best teams in the west and would win a playoff series against any1 not mentioned. n they have a real shot against nuggets n clips too
Late to the game here but come on Jason. Your comment about Nuggets fans having a victory lap because some of us question your consistent over rating of the Lakers because you have business decisions to make and biases just seemed defensive and stupid. Let me introduce you to reality. Most intelligent and knowledgeable fans around the league believe you over rate the Lakers. That's not a hot take. Hello. Not a victory lap. Just sober intelligent analysis of the Lakers w/out being a complete and over the top LeBron stan.
Okc has a better team then when they had Durant, Harden and Westbrook. They fit together like a glove and SGA is one of the best players in the league, Jaylen Williams is one of the most over looked players in the league, Chet Holmgren is already a top 10 big man easily and he can reach those AD, Giannis levels of greatness in a few years. Giddy is a great play maker but his shot is horrid but man is that team exciting.
Shop NAW? Hell no he’s a huge reason they stayed afloat with mcdaniels out that’s insane shake Milton and even Troy brown jr I’d agree Kyle Anderson I’d say no he has a lot of experience and is solid
They are young but I don’t even care the OKC Thunder are legit contenders.
I'm going to laugh my ass off when the Twolves get bounced in the first round!
The plagiarism is real
These are all stolen talking points! Get real guys! You can't bullshit a true OKC fan… you're literally plagiarizing
Thunder are nothing but season darlings…
You have to lose in the playoffs before you can win in the playoffs. That's just the law.
OKC hasn't even been in the playoffs, they will be dangerous in the 2026 playoff run.
Wolves are dangerous team right now, TC built them to beat the nuggets.
OKC fan here. I've watched 95% of the games since 2016, watching this team learn and grow throughout the rebuild. I agree with every point you guys made! In regards to the size issue, it does in fact feel tremendous at times. This leads to OKC fouling A LOT and heavily losing on the boards. That being said, this team has shown to favor small ball even when matched up witha huge front court like Minnesota. They like to force the other team to adjust to them instead of the other way around. I think this creates all sorts of different advantages for them on the offensive side, and then gives them the ability to switch 1-5 on the defensive end where they will at times, double-team the skilled bigs and use their quickness to close out on shooters when they pass out of the double team. It'll be interesting to see how this formula works out in the playoffs this year.
Thunder by a landslide. The wolves NEED shooting and ball handling off the bench desperately to even think of competing in the post season as Mike Conley will not be able to play heavy minutes every series. The team falls off on offense tremendously when Mike is not on the court and when he gets into foul trouble, it does not look pretty. The wolves should be the ones considering to make trades, not the Thunder imo.
It’s the Thunder. The last game kinda solidified that the Thunder’s main advantage is their ability to adjust. Minnesota is good but has had a few scheduling quirks go their way and the offensive consistency is not there. You can see them slowing down a little as well.