Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Picks and Predictions | NBA Best Bets For 1/25/24
Well people in Miami thought Rosier was going to come in and turn around the Heat and as poorly as they’ve played we know when a player comes in they’re not going to change a program overnight how bad has Miami been 0 and four straight up in ATS the last four games they lost
By 24 as a three-point favorite at Toronto they lost by one as a seven-point home favorite then last night Memphis has nine people on the injury list had only nine players available and they lost by 9 as an 11 and a half Point favorite now Miami had
To exude energy last night they trailed 82 to 68 going into the fourth quarter they brought it all the way back to one with a three-pointer with two minutes to go and then they let Memphis out score him seven to nothing when I look at the rest factors the Celtics are 4-0 against
The spread versus unrested teams as a single digigit favorite the heat are one and three ATS an 0 and2 ATS with no rest as a dog failing to cover by 15.5 points per game when I look at some League wide systems since 2018 when a rested team is playing a non
Rested home dog like they are tonight those home dogs have covered 34.2% and when you have an elite team those teams with win percentage is over 70% from game number 20 and on so I’m not counting four in one teams five in one teams we’re at least game number 30
The teams have won 70% or higher and they’re in away favorite with at least two days rest those teams going all the way back to 2000 have covered 66.7% Boston’s only two losses in the last 10 games Denver which was a huge game a few weeks ago and Milwaukee
Boston gets it done Miami go goes down to their fifth straight loss and fifth straight ATS defeat so Miami is one of these teams for me at least Ralph that it’s real simple I rarely want to lay points with the heat I usually want to take Miami when they’re bigger dogs and
Particularly when we talk about when they’re catching more than five points they’ve been an excellent point spread team this year last year repeatedly uh under Eric bolstra do you worry it at all that Miami is in a change of roles here now catching a bunch of points
Against a team that they played fairly well against you know that is always a concern and you know does Boston have motivation to lay the wood on him they did beat him last time uh they do have a home game against the Clippers in a few
Days now I will say this Teddy it did concern me a bit and this one just fell short when I when I went to sleep last night I said okay if Miami is laying five and a half or six they’re going to be in my mix and I did
Leave them off and I want to explain why I left them off much like I just told you with those college basketball numbers when I looked at the NBA data when teams are in a way favorite to minus 6 to minus8 since 2016 there have been 499 games 23% of those fell between
Six and eight points so it is clear that the number of games when you have an A away favored in this role fall within that price range that and the line climbing up kept it off my card as a client release but an obvious lean for me with Boston’s tonight
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🏀 Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat NBA Matchup (1/25/24) Betting Preview 🏀
🔥 Get ready for an electrifying NBA showdown as the Boston Celtics take on the Miami Heat on January 25, 2024! 🏀
📅 Date: 1/25/24
🕒 Time: 7:30PM ET / 4:30PM PT
📍 Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL
📺 Watch the action unfold on TNT
📊 Current Spread and Total: Celtics -8.5, Total 224.5
🤔 Interesting Facts:
The Boston Celtics, known for their rich basketball history, bring a legacy of championship victories to the court.
The Miami Heat, a force to be reckoned with, showcase a roster of talented players aiming for victory.
📲 Team Twitter Hashtags:
Boston Celtics: #BostonCeltics
Miami Heat: #HEATCulture
Don’t miss a minute of the excitement as these two NBA powerhouses clash in a battle for supremacy! Stay tuned for an unforgettable matchup. 🌟 #NBA #nbapickstoday #MiamiHeat #BasketballAction
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2 Comments
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Heat +6
Heat +4
Heat +3.5