College Basketball Picks Today (2/15/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

College Basketball Picks Today (2/15/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

What’s up everybody Matt gajeski here back again with the odd shopper channel today we’re talking some college basketball bets ahead of February the 15th it is Thursday and we have a ton of mid Majors couple Pack 12 games out west before we get started make sure to hit

That Thumbs Up Button subscribe to the channel and hit the notification Bell so you win this and all other content goes live we’re also brought to you by bet MGM they have a limited time offer what you’ll do is Click the link in the video description below you’ll make your first

Deposit of at least $5 turn that around $5 wager on any team Market total whatever you’d like and you will be paid out $158 in the form of bonus bets this is available to all of you in legal states except New York Puerto Rico and

Nevada if you are someone you know has a gambling problem please call or text 1800 Gambler you must be 21 or older to play in most areas all right circling back to yesterday and ended what ended up being a pretty brutal day overall some tough losses basically had just the

Murray State Victory we were on Iowa playing Maryland and that was an exceedingly tough game because Iowa is winning the whole game literally the whole game until seven minutes left and then they score six points in the final seven minutes of the game I fell asleep during this game woke up expecting this

To be a no sweat finding out they scored six points points in the final seven minutes to not only lose outright but blow the cover they were getting Five Points so that was pretty egregious and then the totals didn’t come in the Arizona State game against Oregon State

Went to 140 that one was close richond got clobber otherwise there was some injury stuff that happened during the Slate St Joe’s their point guard was ruled out right before the game so I was sitting with pretty good amount of closing line value normally in a

Situation like this I would just buy out of the the position when a player like that is out but the line had moved all the way to three I had four and a half and decided to just let it ride and they lost by five otherwise I did a couple

Other things that ended up being losses Green Bay’s best player was ruled into the game at the last second so I took them they lose outright and then Milwaukee’s best player BJ Freeman was ruled out at the last second they win outright despite being dogs so those are tough situations it’s almost like

You have a line listed let’s say it’s a onepoint spread best players ruled out you are guaranteed to get a get closing line value like the line is incorrect once that player is ruled out would you take it the answer for me is always yes and sometimes it works out sometimes it

Doesn’t so we’ll put that behind us and move towards today’s slate it’s Pack 12 heavy as Thursdays generally are and we’ll kick things off with Colorado taking on UCLA this game is an interesting one you’re buying low on Colorado I believe after they’ve suffered a lot of injuries

This year but Cody Williams is back for this team and ucl’s played really well of late I need to at least give them that this team has been able to Rattle off a number of wins after it looked like their season was completely cooked but I do think this is the wrong matchup

For them in this spot even though they’re playing at home and I’m not sure I still even buy this UCLA team their wins aren’t exactly against the best competition you’ve got Cal by one point in the last game I respect the Stanford win in their second most recent but then

Oregon’s been up and down Oregon state is a disaster USC is a disaster they lost by they lost to Arizona prior to that so it hasn’t exactly been the best strength of schedule for UCLA as they’ve gone on this five-game winning streak that they’re currently on stylistically

This is a nightmare for them Colorado has a ton of size a ton of it and getting Cody Williams back helps them even more in this regard Colorado’s fourth in effective height dilva is a player that missed games for them you have Eddie lamin inside giving you mid

20s and minutes it’s a nightmare for them height-wise and UCLA they’re pretty decent sized team themselves but a lot of this just comes through Adam Bona who is the absolute definition of can’t keep his hands to himself fouling big man this guy he never gets to the maximum

Possible minutes because all he does is foul 5.4 fouls per 40 minutes I’m actually shocked it’s that low the guy’s egregious on the interior and outside from that I don’t think this team has a lot of size they’ve recently benched berki by Young toel whatever his name is

The the foreign freshman excuse me berky Kenneth nuba is giving you nothing Brandon Williams is playing a lot as a six7 freshman but you still have to contend with the bodies inside so you don’t have any size for UCLA you don’t defend that area of the Court very well

Even though you’re pretty strong on defense overall 116 on the interior or 101st on the interior that’s going to be a mismatch for Colorado to exploit and then as far as three-point defense goes they’re 96th but Colorado’s still ninth in the country and three-point percentage they have a lot of Shooters

And I don’t really see this being an issue for them even on the road you look individually KJ Simpson 43% DVA is at 38% Cody Williams is at 47 they stud freshman dude’s going to get drafted High Julian Hammond 41% Luke O’Brien who’s back from injury came back last game

39% so just ton of advantages for Colorado’s Direction not to mention rebounding one or 10th to 107th so many Stylistics here and I mean Colorado’s also 62 and fouls drawn UCLA 341 and fouls committed will back Colorado even though this is a road spot here next up we stick in the Pack 12

Utah takes on USC a tricky one and one I haven’t bet yet but fully planned to USC’s taking money it’s up to minus two and I think this is largely just because they’re healthier Isaiah Collier is back they’ve basically returned all their injured players Kobe Johnson boie Alis

Their guards are fully healthy and bronny James is playing too many minutes honestly at 24 25 26 because he’s been bad but that’s the reason USC’s taking money is just their health this is another matchup inside where Utah has just drastic advantages this team is more efficient than USC across the board

And I’m honestly surprised USC’s taken a lot of money it’s not like we haven’t seen this guard combo play for UFC before this is the guard combo that notoriously lost to Long Beach State the team’s just not very good one second on offense 133rd on defense 143 effective shooting Utah’s 42

Utah is strong everywhere so on the inside with Brandon Carlson yeah you’re working into the strength of USC’s defense they do have some size they’re 11th Utah 6th so seeing USC 50 50th in interior defense that should raise some concerns but Utah is also 45th in three

Point percentage and USC is 336 at defending the three massive Advantage shooting over the top for Utah and we can talk about the individual Shooters they have plenty of them and I think this largely flows through Gabe Madson 41% you have badma 40% Carlson himself I mean shockingly both Carlson are up in

The mid 30% Ben is at 40 he doesn’t play a ton but at least worth noting they have Shooters even Dean Smith who’s come on of late 36% from three there should be no issues Utah scoring the ball they’re the better team on offense to begin with and then from there this USC

Team just has a lot of problems 262 in turnovers committed they’re in more foul trouble than Utah and a lot of that comes on the interior with like Vincent chukwu that’s going to be tough when you’re facing Carlson Utah’s also played the more difficult strength of schedule

Both these teams play with Pace the extra possessions do not help USC in this spot so look for the best line here I’m going to wait on this I would take a plus two if it’s what pops but those of you in legal states check odd Shopper

Link is in the video description below you can sort by state book whatever you use and it’s going to help you find the best lines this makes a big difference in the bottom line I can tell you from just straightup experience yesterday if you were able to find a plus five on

St Joe’s I don’t know if it was available but if it was that gave you a push I had a plus four and a half that’s a loss there’s also market-based tools these help you find plus EV spots across sports college basketball NBA whatever it is you play and everything’s

Consolidated so our discord’s in there experts breaking everything down it’s $ 14.95 for a week 49.95 for a month with no long-term commitments helps me a lot and I think it will help you as well let’s move forward we’ll stick in the Pack 12 as a lot of these games are

Being played out west Cal takes on Washington State this is one where we will look to a total pacing just very slow in this game kind of surprised in the 140s the low 140s but 140 and a half is a value towards the under for me C’s 173 in Pace shockingly it’s honestly

Remained perfectly constant over the last six weeks during conference play they’re still 173 Washington state is 301 in Tempo and they’ve actually slowed to 313 when you’re playing in the 300s it’s not like there’s much room for teams to slow a lot more than that but Washington is some Washington state has

Somehow done it as far as shooting stuff effective field goal percentage most of the sides with Washington State Cal’s to1 and effective scoring and they’re pretty bad everywhere 240th on the interior there’s no way they score inside against that Washington State Defense that ranks 19th and from three

They’re 151 Washington State 75th at defending that area of the Court as far as Washington State doing their part to get this over the total which I don’t think is likely the strength of Cal’s defense is inside that’s where AMAC plays so you should be able to neutralize some of the Interior scoring

And that’s where Washington State plays primarily they’re 33th in schedule excuse me Pace adjusted three-point rate so yeah Cal’s 279 at defending the three Washington say just not taking a lot of those in there outside the top 100 in three point percentage a lot of the

Shooting stuff you know like if Cal puts Washington State on the line Washington state is 266 then field free throw percentage Cal’s won 70th so neither of these teams are great from the stripe I don’t know pacing doesn’t match up that’s usually the Crux of these arguments when we talk totals anyway so

We’ll go under 140 and a half for Cal Washington State getting a little greasy and then I think we got another pack 12 game but before we get there we’ll go to the AAC which is State takes on East Carolina this is one where I like a home team and

I think it’s somewhat close witas state had a couple two-time transfers get their clearance but it hasn’t really worked out with bejan Cortez and Ronnie Dey degy played a lot in their last game I think just mainly because of fouls ahead of him and East Carolina’s a team

That hasn’t been healthy this year so we just look at who’s on the court for them now I I think it’s as healthy as they’re going to be they also had a two-time trans transferring cam Hayes but Ezra oar’s Miss games Brandon Johnson’s Miss games you’ve had players really

Everywhere for this team Miss games and I think that shows up in their efficiency metrics because they are behind witch state in a lot of these categories especially effective field goal percentage they’re 305 wiah is 225 I do believe there’s defensive edges for East Carolina when you look at how this

Team is comprised they’re actually 40th and three-point defense they struggle a little bit on the inside and that’s probably the biggest path to Witchita State success but we already mentioned like to gr and stuff it’s not like witch States had a lot of success inside either despite being 83rd in height

They’re only 159th in interior scoring and that’s an issue for them aside from that the guard defense is going to be very challenging for wiah to deal with East Carolina’s 54th and turnovers forced witch to State 21 17th and turnovers committed without a true point guard really on the roster so unless you

Can just feed the ball into these witch State bigs this should be a spot where East Carolina can actually run their game and run their offense meanwhile on defense you know you have to get the ball to the bigs and with these guards pressuring so much on the widget State

Back court see that being a pretty big issue in this spot so we’ll take the one with East Carolina back to the Pack 12 Stanford takes on Washington we’re back to our friends at Stanford I just honestly believe this team is still very underrated they played a little up and down but they

Have so many advantag over their opponents playing on the road’s tough It’s not like this is a massive road trip for them but despite being a little bit behind Washington and effective field goal excuse me an offensive efficiency they have an edge in effective field goal 17 to 60 Stanford

Has a lot of height they’re 18 so that contends well with Washington who stands 38 in that metric rebounding is very close between these teams sometimes Washington has advantages in the glass and when you just look at how these teams score twoo percentage Washington has a slight Advantage but Stanford

Strong and Tall inside from three it’s not even close Washington doesn’t have any Shooters s severe wheeler is a disaster Corin Johnson’s been a mess their guards are complete and absolute disaster Sanford is excellent guard play they’re 71st and three point rate seventh in three-point percentage against this Washington defense which is

178th in defending the three tough spot for Washington man like big on big strength on strength inside Major mismatch on the perimeter pretty tough for me to see this Washington team getting it done and I honestly think you could maybe look at some Stanford moneyline dog stuff in the spot

Washington also a team that just hemorrhages fouls on the inside braxon Mia I mean these guys follow the time and let’s get a little bit greasy to finish up here utap takes on Western Kentucky this might be my favorite one of the day Western Kentucky undervalued here with a

Five-point spread I I’m expecting this to move we’ll see what happens but Western ky’s kind of been a team we’ve been backing a lot this year also a team that’s deal with injuries we’ve seen Lander Miss time for them but they’ve gotten really good play lately and a lot

Of their metrics are continuing to rise through conference play which is interesting to me this team has played the semi difficult schedule but utep’s actually a little bit better there ton of pace in the game but just individually utap can’t score both these teams are good on defense but utep’s

Inability to score really stands out 292 and effective field goal Western Kentucky 132 and on the interior there’s a major mismatch UTEP is 304 in height Western ky’s 134 scoring inside UTEP is 296 at defending the interior they’re excellent at defending guards Western Kentucky doesn’t shoot a lot of Threes they’re

324th and three-point rate they’re actually pretty decent at shooting them when they do decide to 138 they have a couple guys over 40% Don McKenry is at 4 3 Dante Allen he’s at 42 then you even have like Tyrone Marshall he’s at 36 so pretty good three-point Shooters but

Anyway that’s not the argument I’m trying to make on the inside this team should have plenty of success Rodney Howard at 611 he’s the Georgia Tech transfer then you’ve got bubacar feay Tyrone Marshall all these guys have size even Dante Allen at 66 and Brandon

Newman on the wing these guys are 65 and 66 I mean you have a ton of size for this team overall that’s going to be very offer a small UTEP lineup to contend with not to mention yeah UTEP forces a lot of turnovers they’re number one in the country doing that but you

Actually look at the margin between turnovers first versus turnovers committed it’s actually wider for Western Kentucky versus UTEP Western Kentucky forces a decent amount themselves that are 96 but utap is 353 in turnovers committed so the differential there actually favors Western Kentucky as crazy as this is

Kind of just insane numbers but it is the truth utap also constantly in foul trouble 339 there with the size disadvantages they have it’s not looking promising for them on the inside but couple other ones I’m considering before we head out of here just quick throwaway games SMU 2 Lane

Like SMU at two and a half looking at an under in Marshall App State took an over in Hampton Sony Brook at 144 expecting that to move Charlotte over UTSA at 13’s interesting to me Louisiana over Old Dominion Sam Houston over fi you couple totals Southeast Missouri State on

Eastern Illinois like an under Morehead State Little Rock like an over and then North Carolina anti North Carolina Wilmington looking at and over there but that’ll do it for us today thank you guys for watching leave a comment below if you have one if you have any

Questions reach out to me on Twitter happy to answer them my DMs are open and we’ll see about tomorrow I’m traveling this weekend for a wedding Beth Matt congrats I’ll try to get a video out for Friday there’s absolutely no chance for Saturday Saturday though so my apologies

Tons of good games hope you enjoy them until then good luck we’ll see you guys later

College Basketball Bets Thursday February 15 NCAAB Picks & Predictions Today

Matt Gajewski gives his best CBB NCAA bets, picks and predictions for 2/15/24.

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College Basketball Picks & Predictions Today

00:00 Best NCAAB Picks & CBB Predictions
2:58 Colorado vs UCLA
5:54 Utah vs USC
9:01 California vs Washington State
10:57 Wichita State vs East Carolina
12:45 Stanford vs Washington
14:20 UTEP vs Western Kentucky

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