Today’s NBA Player Prop Previews & My Best Bets!
What’s up kings and queens it’s Dan from Darth previews and I’m back here once again for another comprehensive preview for the NBA player props that you need to know about for this upcoming slate on the NBA I’ll be taking you through outline. I know a lot of you guys have
Been taken advantage of the free trial so the link is still in the description box below so check it out a lot of you guys have been signing up what I wanted to do in this video is show you how I set up the app what filters I use to
Really make a short list I’ll still be going through game by game we’re going to make our selections based off a few things recent form matchups and how they performed against that team in the past so let’s jump into it and let’s find some bangers let’s go all right so we’ve
Landed on the props page of outli dob obviously at the top here you can see all the different games that are available we’ll be going through them all one by one the first thing that I like to do is pick the different props that I want to look at there’s a lot of
Data on here can be overwhelming at first uh but what I will usually like to pick pick I like to play first the first quarter markets assists points points and assists points and rebounds P rebounds rebounds and assists Steals and blocks I have seen some good plays on those but
Every time I’ve played them they haven’t worked for me so these are the main ones that I like to look at um and my favorite feature of this is filtering by odds so as you know I don’t like to take any any old prop any old over and under
I really like to filter it byus 110 odds if sometimes S I even go plus 100 um because I’m really about that value so those are the main filters I set up I also like to filter to the over uh the under does have some value but that’s
Not how I start my betting selection I usually like to start with the over once I’ve made my final selections I’ll go back and then I’ll check all the games based off the unders on the same filters just to see if anything stands out to me
But I you know unders do have a great rate rate of hitting but the experience for me is what’s important and I don’t like that whatsoever so we’ve got our filters set up let’s jump into the very first game we’re looking at the Cleveland Cavaliers versus
76ers so what I tend to do is leave it on these filters you can go five 10 head-to-head whatever it is eventually you’re going to find all the players that you need anyway let’s jump into Tobias Harris first and the first thing I like to do is check out the injuries
To see who’s out and who’s in so we know that Donovan Mitchell he’s a game time decision and it’s for the 76ers the same outs DeAnthony Melton he might be back back after fracturing his back um I don’t think he’ll have too many impacts on this game and other players so
Donovan Mitchell’s the main thing that we need to keep in consideration as we look through this game now for Tobias Harris recently just lost a prop on his we did look at his first quarter rebounds he had a great hit rate he had done it against the Knicks the Knicks in
The past then he got no rebounds in the first quarter so that was a little bit disappointing in this particular matchup he hasn’t done well first quarter rebounds against the the Cav so I wouldn’t even consider that but let’s have a quick look at his points prop I
Also like to filter by his position so he’s normally a three or a four so he could have a good or a bad matchup depending on how the lineup is so you got to take both into consideration points prop wise has hit this in four out of his last 10 though so that
Doesn’t get me excited whatsoever head-to-head matchups he did score 23 points in his last game against Cleveland but he did go under the three times prior that last game was in November of last year Joel embiid would have been playing in that one so here points prop doesn’t really interest me
Looking at his assists you can see he’s gone under his assists in all four games against the Cavs looking in the last 10 he’s hit it in five out of his last 10 games so even that leaves me a little bit 50/50 I’m on the fence so no obvious
Play there and let’s have a look at his rebounds rebound wise hit this in five out of his last 10 and he’s gone under in every game against the Cleveland Cavaliers so one thing I do know about Tobias Harris is that I don’t like him that much that might be a little bit
Rude to say but um looking at his P his overall line is 28 and a half so he’s gone under that in four straight games against Cleveland despite scoring 23 points against some earlier this season in his last 10 games he’s gone over in five of his last 10 so I was hoping
Those numbers would be a little bit stronger because I really wanted to take an under on Tobias Harris but it doesn’t look like that’s going to be happening his form over the last 10’s not bad it’s just wildly inconsistent so Devas Harris we’re going to have to pass so instead
Of jumping through each and every single player the way I normally do I thought I’d try something a little bit different um and this is for a lot of you guys who are using outlier this is how I tend to filter through a lot of the bets and I
Do it a lot quicker so looking at the last 10 games that’s a pretty important step for me so anyone who’s got a good hit rate over their last 10 games then I’ll be sure to jump in so let’s have a look at Donovan Mitchell here so his
Points props at 27 and a half so in terms of the matchup the 76 is ranked 16th in the league in points allowed to shooting guards Donovan Mitchells cover this line in seven out of his last 10 games his first not his first game back
Um he didn’t play today did he no he didn’t play today so he was out I believe um against the magic but Donovan Mitchell so he’s covered in seven out of his last 10 head-to-head games against Philly scored 36 points against them in their very last matchup I think that was
Only 10 days ago so that was before the break 21 prior to that 30 3 what are were the trends here both game the last game was a home game this one is a road game against the Philadelphia 76ers um we can see in the last four games he’s
Only had one road game against Philly scored 33 points if we look at his last 10 Road games we can see he’s only covered this in three out of his last 10 games so that doesn’t give me much confidence also we know that Donovan Mitchell game time decision due to an
Illness right so we got to learn my lesson I bet on Isaiah Haron it was a game time decision today and then he barely played so Donovan Mitchell even though he’s done you could say okay in his last 10 games he hasn’t done the best on the road covering this line and
In head-to-head matchups it’s a bit 50/50 so that makes me quite hesitant to make a plan Donovan Mitchell looking at who we have Tobias Harris rebounds and assists so we know that he’s wildly inconsistent so we don’t want to touch that let’s have a flick over to the
Players who’ve done well covering their line over their last five so as I look through this we can see that Tyrese Maxi first quarter assist comes to mind what I like about this it’s plus 100 odds so in his last five games he’s covered this four times four out of his last five
Games he’s gone two plus assists in the first quarter terms of the matchup the Cavs they actually allow the fewest assist to point guards in the League this season so that alone makes me a little bit hesitant um looking at head-to-head matchups he had five assists in the first quarter the last
Time these guys played 10 days ago which is pretty crazy so that does lean to the over that was a road game as well looking at so last five he’s hit it four out of his last five but he’s only hit it in five out of his last 10 so that’s
Quite interesting this is a home game for Philly so let’s check his last 10 home games and in his last 10 game home games he’s hit this five times so the only reason you probably would take this for Tyrese Maxi is that over his last five games in general he’s hit this four
Times and in his last head-to-head game he hit it so those are the only reasons you would take it I’m not seeing enough of a correlation here for me to take it but um look up to you you if that sounds interesting you might want to have a run
At it the next one next player who’s doing okay with the last five game is Paul Reed now his name came up for p and points so I’ll check both of those lines out for Paul read firstly terms of centers we know that it’s a tough match
Up for points an average match up for for rebounds and a tough match up for assists but in his last five games he’s covered this in four of them the only game he went under was against the New York Knicks so and that was today and
Today he played 22 minutes 22 minutes a little bit low um four out of his last so he was killing it prior to the break he’s come back had a quiet game against the Knicks looking at head-to-head matchups he had 22 p in his last game against Cleveland 13 points eight
Rebounds and one assists and looking at his last 10 games he’s covered this five times let’s check his last 10 games at home last 10 games at home he’s only covered this twice so again these numbers aren’t popping out to me they’re not very strong but let’s check out his
Points line so four out of his last five but only four out of his last 10 so he’s been playing in Jael in be’s position for a bit longer than this but um it’s clear that he’s probably getting the line share of minutes here and he scored
13 points the last time he versed Cleveland the matchup somewhat difficult so even though his more recent form is very good there’s not enough reason for me to take Paul Reed on this one the next play I want to look through let’s check out Tyrese Max’s rebound so the rebound
Lines at three and a half he’s covered this in four straight games nine against the Wizards four against the Cavs six against the Heat and then six against the Knicks terms of matchup the Cleveland Cavaliers now the fifth fewest rebounds to point guards on the season
Tyrese Max’s cover this in only five out of his last 10 so that real the last four games probably a driving Factor as to why you would take this in terms of head-to-head matchups he has covered this in three consecutive games against the Cleveland Cavaliers so now you’ve
Got a bit of interest for me so I don’t mind that so we know that he getting plus money I do like that form against the Cavs I do like that as well recent form is good I do like that I did wish it was a lot better but looking at his
Last 20 you’d probably lean at the under he’s hit this in only eight of his last 20 but over his last four games in particular he has been rebounding quite well so uh this would definitely be a lean for me at the moment but I don’t
Hate this that’s what I’m going to say about tyes Maxi scrolling through to see if there’s anything else that we like if we’re looking at the over um and there’s nothing there so then what you can do is flip to the under if there’s not a lot
That we like for the over there might be a lot that we like for the under let’s just put it that way so looking at the last 10 you want to fade Tyrese maxi under 31 a half points and assists he’s hit the under in six out of his last 10
We know the matchup is a difficult one assist wise we spoke about it earlier the Cavs allow the Fest assists to point guards on the season Maxi hit this in his last two though his last two games he been scoring the ball really well so that’s what makes me very hesitant to
Take this play and in head-to-head matchups he’s gone under this points and assist line in three out of his last four games against the Cavs so um but give given his recent form I wouldn’t been game enough to take Tyrese Maxi on the under the other is Tobias Harris if
You’re looking at his points and his rebound so that line is at 24 a half you get that for minus 105 hting six out of his last 10 and the matchup well it really depends right if he’s a power forward the matchup is great if he’s a
Small forward in this game it might be a somewhat difficult matchup so even with that I want to play Tobias Harris Under CU I’m not a big fan of his but there’s nothing screaming out to me for that one right now what we can also see is lines
For Jared Allen Evan Mobley those aren’t available just yet and that’s most likely because jonovan Mitchell’s a game time decision their performances they change quite a bit depending on whether he plays or not so uh let’s jump into the next game it’s a Toronto Raptors versus the Atlanta Hawks all right so
We’re going to jump into Trey young firsty he’s he’s got a 70% hit rate on his assist prop so I I like this already and I’ve only been looking at it for a few seconds the reasons why I like this I already know that the Raptors give up
A lot of assist to point guards that’s because I do this every single day I know that they give up a lot of assists there you go ranked 27th in the league in terms of assists allowed which is the third or fourth most assist to point
Guards on the season now 11 and a half is a high line but Trey Young’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 games I love that you can get this for plus money as well Plus 105 in terms of the head-to-head matchups he’s hit this in
Three out of his last six so this is a home game for the Atlanta Hawks and we can see he’s only had two home games against the Toronto Raptors out of his last six games I believe yep and he’s had 12 assists in both of those games so
Trey young at home against the Raptors he can get this done looking at his last 10 home games though it’s not as convincing six out of six out of 10 nonetheless so again these numbers make me lean to the over and given that the matchup is
Good the odds are the odds are nice and positive um I think this is definitely going to be a player that I take so I do like Trey young overs let’s just quickly check the injuries to make sure one of his favorite targets aren’t missing and
They’re not so Ona ungu he’s out for this game but Clint capella is back in so um not the biggest loss he still has a l Thro out there Jaylen Johnson sadique Bay Deonte Murray bogdanovich Off the Bench de Hunter he’s got a lot of targets Trey young so I do like Trey
Young overs in assists that’s definitely one play that I’m pretty confident I’m going to be taking looking through this what else do we see RJ Barrett we can see that he’s over in his points rebounds and assist he’s hit at a 70% hit rate so let’s start there RJ Barrett
He’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 he only had 24 in his last game against the Brooklyn Nets seven assists just strong five rebounds that’s average he’s points totals were down though he played 29 minutes he shot 5 for 13 so he didn’t shoot the ball very well but in
Terms of the matchup it’s a pretty good matchup a lot of green here so the Hawks ranked 21 in points allowed 22 in assists allowed 14 in rebounds allowed so points and assists is a good matchup here for RJ Barrett it is a road game so let’s just check out RJ Barrett’s last
10 Road games and we can see he’s covered this in six out of his last seven Road games so that that’s pretty optimistic supporting the vet there the game he went under was against the Utah Jazz and the Toronto Raptors were blown out by 30 points um and in that game he
Only shot the ball nine times played 30 minutes so he wasn’t too involved in that one but in this particular game against the Atlanta Hawks who allow the second most points overall this season could be a very highs scoring game with a lot of opportunities so I don’t mind
This RJ Barrett over his P um matchup is okay his form on the road is good good his form over his last 10 is okay he doesn’t have a recent head-to-head matchup since he’s joined the Raptors but despite that I still don’t mind this for RJ Barrett looking at his P now
Nothing else is screaming out in the last 10 as as a major hit rate so let’s filter things through to the last five games and we can see Scotty Barnes rebounds and assists and Scotty barns assists do show up so let’s take a look at Scotty Barn’s just his assist total
Now I like this already plus money plus 110 give me that terms of the matchup the Hawks are now the fourth most um assist to power forwards on the season Scotty Barnes has hit this in four out of his last five he’s only hit this in
Five out of his last 10 though and his most recent game against Brooklyn even though they won by almost 30 points heing a three assist but I know that Brooklyn difficult match up for power forwards so Scotty Barnes good chance to bounce back in this one looking at
Head-to-head matchups he’s hit this in four out of his last six games against the Atlanta Hawks we can see that he’s played them three times this season he had six and then his last two he’s had eight assists both times so Scotty Barnes to go over his assist prop I
Don’t mind that so let’s just double check we’ve ticked it all off the matchup is good his form against the Hawks more recently has been good looking at his last 10 games he’s hit this in four out of his last five let’s check him out on the road looking at
Scotty Barnes on the road now that makes me hesitant he’s only hit this in two out of his last 10 Road games just check checking to see his last match up against Atlanta was on the road though and he still got eight assists in that
One and that was about 3 to four weeks a go so um it does make me a little bit more hesitant but I think you know good chance still that’s I’ll probably put this down as a lean for now what was the other one we’re meant to be looking at
Rebounds and assists so his rebounds and assists very similar four out of his last five has been rebounding the ball extremely well though check that out 10 10 n 12 and 12 12 so his line is at 15 A2 so what’s his rebound his rebound line
Is 7 a half as well okay so looking at the matchup rebound matchup is great assist matchup is great too so the matchup side of things works well in head-to-head matchups you can see that he hasn’t rebounded well in his last two games against the Atlanta Hawks though
Only four rebounds in each game assist wise he has been getting it done let’s check his rebounds and assists on the road he’s only hit this in one of 10 games on the road so that sucks I don’t like that at all so if we were going to
Play Scotty Barnes play it looks like it would have to be his assist Pro so there’s Scotty Barnes who else is there if we’re looking at the last five nothing is screaming out to me so the last filter that I would look through is just checking head-to-head because
There’s a lot of players who tend to just play well against certain teams certain matchups so regardless of their recent form or whatever it still might be worth playing so we know that we like Trey Young’s assists already but his points and rebounds prop he’s done very well against the Toronto Raptors so
Check that out this is the head-to-head matchup we can see that to cover his line of 26 a half points plus rebounds Trey young has absolutely murdered this he’s covered this in five consecutive games against the Toronto Raptors which is pretty crazy and in a lot of these
Games well in all of these games he’s covered this in points alone in two out of these games though he had very strong rebounding efforts with five and four rebounds let’s just quickly check his rebound line for this one his rebound line is 2 a half okay which he covered
In three of six games so it might even just be better to look at his points because his points prop he’s killed against the Raptors anyway but let’s check his points and his rebounds because I want to see his recent form around that and then we can flick
Through the two so looking at his last 10 games he’s covered this in six out of his last 10 games he has gone under in three consecutive though three consecutive games Allstar break is now over looking at the matchup it’s a good matchup for his rebounds but it’s a
Difficult matchup for his points so the Toronto Raptors allow the third fewest points to point guards on the season but players like Trey young you can throw that match up out the window because he tortures the Toronto Raptors right doesn’t matter how hard you make the matchup this man probably still delivers
So having a look at his recent form we can see that his rebound prop of Two and a Half he’s only covered that twice in his last 10 games so if I was going to look at Trey young I think I’d probably just look at his points prop but we do
Like his assist prop as well so just looking at his points and assists let’s check that out points and assists he’s still covered in six out of his last 10 so even the games where he’s had massive assist numbers his points performance was that low he still wasn’t able to
Cover so um in head to heads yeah he’s nailed his well if he’s nailing the points prop it’s easy to say he’ll nail the assist prop but check out these points and assist games against the Raptors 33 and 12 29 and9 35 and 17 38 and 11 and then his most recent game
Against him he had 30 points and 12 assists So based on what we’re seeing here I hope we didn’t swallow a fly based on what we’re seeing here Trang absolutely tortures these guys if you’re looking at a single bet I still like the assist prop a little bit better but even
In the past his I think his scoring against the Raptors has been a lot better but his assist prop is probably a s I wouldn’t even say it’s a safer bet so this is where you get a little bit torn and this is why this is why I do
Pin comments because even though I do these vide there’s still a lot of things I need to think about despite doing the research so I’m going to sit on that at the moment but Trey young he definitely comes to mind for some of these props another one is Deonte Murray over one
And a half rebounds in the first quarter so the Raptors they’re ranked 12th in terms of rebounds allowed to shooting guards we can see that he’s covered this in four out of his last five games against the Toronto Raptors most recently against them here and the had
One that was back in December if we have a look at games at home so he hasn’t played a home game against them since November of 2022 looking at his last 10 he’s only covered this in three of his last 10 if we look at his last 10 games at home
He’s only covered this twice so yeah the numbers against the Raptors aren’t strong enough for me to take to Mar on that one Scotty Barnes we’ve already gone through Scotty Barnes as well so with everything else that’s happening here there’s nothing screaming out to me
On this prop screen so normally if I was doing what I would do we’d go through manual quickly we’d go through jayen Johnson we’ll go through all that right but I can already tell you what I would have said is look very inconsistent at the moment very inconsistent sometimes he gets it done
Against the opponent yada so let’s jump into the the next one also let me know in the comments section what are your thoughts on this this way of presenting it does this make sense to you or would you prefer me to go back and just preview all the key players I’d be
Really open to hearing what you guys think we’re looking at the Clippers versus the Memphis Grizzlies actually let me go back real quick I want to check the unders looking at the unders what comes up so if we go over the last 10 games the under and TR young rebounds
We’ve kind of just gone through that we’ve got an under an Emanuel quickly 222 points and re bounds so if you like taking unders have fun firstly the matchup is actually not good if you want to take the unders for quickly the Hawks get absolutely destroyed by point guards
So that makes me hesitant already he has gone under in seven out of his last 10 though so bit of a conflicting data I don’t like taking unders as it is so probably avoid that Scotty Barnes in terms of his points prop very much the same right he’s gone under his points
Prop in seven out of his last 10 games but the Hawks allow the second most points to power forwards and Scotty Barnes has gone over in every single game against the Atlanta Hawks so that leaves me a little bit hesitant and who else is there a lot of quickly okay yeah
That’s not overly arousing is it so head to heads okay we’re jumping into the Clippers versus the Grizzlies for real now um looking at the last 10 games so Vince Williams is somebody that I pretty much bet on every time he plays and it’s usually the same play it’s his
Points and assists and this is why so looking at his points and assists the lines at 17 and a half now he’s covered this in nine out of his last 10 games he’s normally a two or a three and we can see here that the match up’s not
Great but it’s not a horrible matchup either so the matchup is okay is what we can say about Vince Williams he’s hit this in nine out of his last 10 if we’re filtering through to his last 10 home games he’s hit this in eight out of his
Last 10 10 but he’s hit this in six consecutive home games so we like that if we look at the head-to-head form though that was his last home game against the Clippers only had six points and one assist this was back in mid January so Desmond Bane would have been
Playing so Vince Williams wouldn’t wouldn’t have been doing too much but playing a whole lot of Defense these days he’s still not the greatest ball handler but probably the best one that they do have so the head-to-head matchups I wouldn’t put too much stock into that anyway I’ve been winning money
Off Williams purely on taking his recent form that’s his home form this is his total form look I’m still leaning the over here and especially if you’re going to get minus 108 give me that looking at the injuries and Game Time decisions jiren Jackson Jr is a game time decision
In this game a lot of players are still out so Jaren Jackson jior is probably the main one so what I’d be interested to look at here is how has he played with and without jiren Jackson Jr last 10 games without jiren Jackson Jr you
Can see so this is from Jan 14th of January onward so this is when Vince Williams really started to pick up his minutes and his production last three games without jiren Jackson Jr he’s killed it 17 points eight assists 19 points five assists and 18 points and seven assist so he’s pretty much
Covering this line in points alone his matchup in these games two games against the Knicks very good defensive teams and Vince Williams has played well Milwaukee Buck they’re not a great defensive team but he still played well regardless his minutes in those games 35 was pretty
Much his average in terms of his in terms of his field goals attempts 13 17 and 11 um so made a lot of free throws though got to the line which is good so yeah look I like this that’s him with jiren Jackson without jiren Jackson Jr
And then if we just have a look at the games with jiren Jackson Jr he’s covered this in nine out of his last 10 so absolutely loves it been getting a lot more assist as a late his points prop is starting to go down though scoring slightly less every single time but his
Playm playmaking has also improved so the other player that I would look at given the form of these tread lines we can see he’s scoring a little bit less is just his assist alone but this has been more of a recent Trend and you can
Get this for plus money 5 a half he’s plus 115 we can see that he’s covered this over his last five one thing that I would always look at if I’m just going to take an assist prop is around like their potential assist stats so I had a
Quick look at this just before and throughout the season he’s averaging five potential assists per game and he’s getting like two to two and a half assists or three assists right over this five game stretch he’s averaging over 12 potential assists per game but he’s averaging 7.8 assists which is pretty
Crazy so um this is not a fluke he’s having more potential in assists given the number of apps that they have so I do like that as well I honestly I’ll probably end up playing both because I’m an IDI idiot and I’m greedy like that
But Vince Williams I do like oh we got another Vince William ones that popped up it’s looking at his first quarter points over three and a half you can get that for plus money he’s covered this in eight out of his last 10 games so that’s
Pretty good let’s check his last 10 home games and he’s covered this in nine of eight of his last 10 home games that’s pretty crazy the game where he didn’t cover it though was against the team he’s versing today the Los Angeles Clippers now in that game we played
Eight minutes in the first first quarter prior to outside of that he’s played more minutes but look the recent form is great just cuz he didn’t get it done before doesn’t mean he can’t do it right we’re asking for three and a half points that’s two layups for Vince Williams and
If I wonder how he goes with without jar Jackson Jr maybe he scores a lot in the first quarter without him let’s have a look all right so we know that hang on I’ve still got the home filter on without Jaren Jackson Jr there are four three main games that we’re looking at
Right the two games against the Knicks and against the Milwaukee Bucks and Vince Williams Jr has absolutely crushed it without jiren Jackson Jr in the lineup in the first quarter if we have a look with jiren Jackson Jr we can see that he’s still done well he’s not
Obviously not murdering it but he’s making two buckets he shoots a lot of three-pointers to Vince Williams so yeah look I don’t mind this one at all what I’m going to do with this play though is plus money I’m going to leave it as a
Lean for now so let me type this in pretty much leave a note for myself if Jen Jackson Jr is ruled out then we’re going to take it all right so if Jen Jackson Junior’s not playing Vince Williams overs in the first quarter I don’t mind that the next player that’s
Popping up here is James Harden over five and a half rebounds I actually just took him for over five and a half rebounds in the game against OKC I only took it because we got it for plus money he did finish on six though which was
Good but in this particular one odds are at minus 105 so that’s still not bad he’s hit this in eight out of last 10 the Memphis Grizzlies they allow the most rebounds to point guards on the season so that’s all positive this is a road game for the Clippers so let’s have
A look at James Harden’s last 10 Road games he’s covered this in eight of his last 10 Road games so doesn’t mind getting some rebounds when he’s on the road as we saw looking through the injuries there’s nobody missing for the LA Clippers he is on a back to back as
Well but didn’t play much of the last quarter given the blowout the challenge here is his form against the G GES check that out three games against the Memphis Grizzlies this season and he’s gone under his rebound line in all three games so that makes me a little bit
Hesitant to take James Harden over on rebound so he’s done it well on the road the matchup is a great one but he’s never he had in three attempts against the Memphis gries this season he hasn’t made it happen once so yeah look it’s a lean for me right now James Harden
Rebounds but I’ve just got that’s my only reservation before taking this bed so um look if you sounds interested maybe you want to jump on that but I’m going to lean on that one for the minute what else do we have kawh Leonard over 27 a half points plus assist so minus
104 type of odds that we like terms of the matchup points wise it’s not bad assists somewhat difficult matchup but let’s have a look at this over his last 10 games he’s hit this seven times he has gone under in his last two blow it against the Thunder difficult and they
Got blown out against the Minnesota timber wols as well so and in this game against the Pelicans they got blown out as well interesting we’re not blown out they lost by 11 last two games he’s only played 30 minutes though so the matchup somewhat average his last 10 someone
Average looking at head-to heads he’s gone under in three consecutive games against the Grizzlies I don’t like that he’s only played the Grizzlies twice this year 17 and 26 so that doesn’t give me too much confidence at all if we’re going to have a look at last 10 games on
The road he’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 Road games that’s not too bad but once again the only thing working in the favor of this bet is his form over his last 10 the matchup isn’t good and his head-to-head matchup isn’t good either so if there’s really three
Things I’m looking for I’d really need to see at least two of those being hit before I consider the BET kawi Leonard doesn’t meet that quota what else do we have to look through we’ve got Santi old over8 and a half rebounds Plus assists minus 109 he’s hit this in seven out of
His last 10 and in four consecutive games now Santi Al dama be playing power forward the match up’s not bad both of these are green so the Clippers allow the eighth most rebounds and the 11th most assist to power forwards in the season so the matchup is not a bad one
At all what I’d be interested in seeing is what the breakdown is his rebound line versus assist line because without looking at these I would have made the Assumption his rebound line would be a lot higher than his assist line but looking in his last four games especially check out these assist
Numbers 7 four 5 and three his rebound numbers 6 4 five and three I would expect his rebound line to be higher than that so let’s have a quick look at that one so assists his lines at three and a half there you go three and a half
And you can get that the plus money that looks interesting to me if we’re looking at his rebound line it’s 5 1/2 5 and a/ half you can get it for plus 110 problem is he’s only hit this in one out of his last seven games so that would make me a
Bit hesitant the matchup is pretty good though rebounds against the Clippers last two games he’s gone under let’s have a look at his assists against the Clippers he’s g under in all those games too played 22 to 21 minutes looking at his last three games are the main ones I
Want to look at 2921 and 32 minutes as well so yeah it’s plus money but there’s not enough form here so maybe the smarter option is to just take his rebounds and assists cuz that we know that he’ll get close to if the lowest
He’s got in the last 10 is seven and the lineer is 82- 109 it might be worth the risk I think this game will be somewhat closer the Memphis Grizzlies fresh Clippers on a back to back so looking at his minutes somewhat inconsistent let’s play with the filters with J Jackson Jr
So let’s check out how he’s gone without him oh yeah okay his last five games without Jaren Jackson Jr are all in the green um I’m just trying to look through which ones were this season so it’s only been two games this season though without Jaren Jackson Jr and that’s
These two here where already had nine and 10 so not the most convincing data it’s a very small sample size so if we look at the games with Darren Jackson Jr he’s still covered in his last three games with him or without him so that comes that’s just the five games really
Last fight for San old dama so that’s a lean as well rebounds and assists so I don’t mind that let’s see what else we got here Santi old dama first quarter rebounds this is plus money so I don’t mind this so Line’s at one and a half
It’s plus money the matchup is a good one he’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 head-to-head matchups two out of his last five so but look it’s only two rebounds if the Clippers start this game off cold there’s a good chance that old dama can get these rebounds real quick
But this reminds me of Tobias Harris which I took for today and it didn’t deliver so I’m not feeling that but you might be so feel free to take it what else is let’s have a look at the last five games small sample size but we’re looking at something gold here Vince
Williams he shows up James Harden points so the points line here is 16 and a half for James Harden he has covered this in four out of his last five just scored 17 against OKC in his three games against Memphis he’s gone under an all three so
I don’t like that the matchup not a good one or a bad one so I’m not feeling that for James Harden while we’re in here let’s look at his assists because the line keeps dropping it’s now at seven and a half last game against OKC was 8
And a half it’s been dropping over time and that’s because he hasn’t been delivering the match up’s not good nor bad he has gone over his assist prop in his last two games against the Memphis Grizzlies but given his recent form and the way the Clippers are playing James
Harden’s not necessarily creating he’s he’s passing it to Norman pal who’s then finding coffee in the corner so he’s getting those hockey assists he’s not really getting the he’s not getting the last pass as you could say so looking at the last five nothing else is screaming
Out to us we’ve seen it all before um let’s have a look at the head-to heads anything strong in the head-to head so this is one that’s quite interesting I just took a Paul George under in his PR which cashed but what’s interesting here is for Paul George the match Up’s okay
But he has absolutely smoked the Memphis Grizzlies in recent times check this out last four games he’s covered his points and assist line his lines at 25 a half he’s covered it in all four games 37 points and one assist his last game against the Memphis Grizzlies but if you
Look at his last 10 games he’s only hit this twice so and it’s really his scoring has been the main let down which is quite you know and this is partly why I’ve been taking the under I won’t be taking the under on Paul George today because this head-to-head form against
The Grizzlies does worry me if he does go under he goes under and that’s because his form’s not great but then if he absolutely destroys the gries I think it’s just a cold hard fact that Paul George loves to destroy the Grizzlies so I just wanted to show you guys that one
In other head-to-head news PG even his rebounds he rebounds well against the Grizzlies too three out of his last four most recently only three but looking at his last 10 that’s quite in consistent wouldn’t encourage anyone to bet on that and these other ones I’m not a fan of
Breaking down either so um hopefully you guys have noticed the real hack for using outli at the moment and the perfect example is it’s probably not even on this page really what you want to see for this right you want to see as much green as you possibly can because what
That tells you is their recent form is good their form against the opponent is good their form on the season against this line is good you just have to look to identify why the line is set the way it is with certain players role players especially like Vince Williams their
Lines don’t move they’re not as sharp as someone like James hardens are so that’s definitely one thing you want to look for throughout the rest of these games hopefully we can find a good example of that so let’s jump into the next one well actually let me check the under
Real quick here we go so Paul George under four and a half first quarter points we see how we got a lot of green right here let’s have a look at this one so if you want to fade Paul George you take the under four and a half points
You’re going to get that at plus money that cashed in eight of the last 10 games and looking at head-to-head matchups even though so remember we looked at his total points line and he smoked the Grizzlies in four consecutive games well he’s gone under four and a
Half points in the first quarter in three consecutive games against the Memphis Grizzlies so I can with this one I don’t mind it plus money four and a half if he makes one three-pointer then I’ll be quite nervous but look it’s you’re not going to sweat too much right
It’s it’s only the first quarter so you got 12 minutes to win or lose this game he on average only plays 7 to 8 minutes 7.7 minutes in the first quarter so based on how their rotations go he may get less opportunities we know that Kawhi Leonard is usually the first
Option even zubac zubac scores a lot of points in the first quarter as well and Paul George might to look to take over late so I don’t mind that one at all I’ve talked myself myself into it so Paul George first quarter unders okay so yeah so that’s pretty much what you want
To look for and outlier if you see these types of numbers that’s pretty much the first players that I would look through doesn’t require too much research cuz everything’s going to look good what you then have to factor in is lineups and like that so um if we’re looking at
Unders yeah probably the best under on the cards for this book U for this play but other than that let’s get back into overs and let’s jump into the next game it’s a Washington Wizards versus the Oklahoma City Thunder and we see quite a little green a bit of green up
Here and it’s for tus Jones so I just had a lean for tus Jones over 20 and a half point points and assist today against the Denver Nuggets and he absolutely crushed it I feel like I’m going to bet on him today because I’m sick of leaning on him and then him
Killing it so I’d probably be looking at his Points Plus assist prop I think that’s 21 and a half but we’ll go through tyus Jones anyway because a lot of his looks green firsty on the point side of things he’s hit this in eight out of his last 10 the line is 12
A half price minus 108 the matchup not a good matchup not a bad matchup either so we can take that against the OKC Thunder his last game against them he scored 18 points against OKC so he scored against OKC quite well his last 10 is pretty
Good last five is excellent this is a road game so let’s just check him out on the road last 10 Road games he’s hit this in six out of 10 he’s hit this in five consecutive Road games he’s averaging 32.6 minutes so yeah I think verly points I don’t mind that I think
That’s a pretty good prop I want to now look at his assist because I think it’s going to be quite green and it is so one thing you I’ll call out here with tyus Jones this line has moved up once upon a time and what I mean by that is only a
Week or two ago two weeks ago sorry him and his brother they both had assist lines of six and a half guaranteed almost every single night tyus Stones went on this hot streak and he was covering it with ease and that line has only climbed so this last game against
Denver his line was seven and a half and he obviously smashed that with 14 despite losing by 20 points now that line is at 8 half and it’s minus 119 odds so it’s starting to get a little bit juice and a little bit high so um his recent form is excellent the matchup
Is okay I’m just not sure if I’m willing to take that much for his assists he did get nine assists the last time they played OKC but that makes me a little bit hesitant to take um because that is a little bit high for my liking so for
Me I’d probably look at Points Plus assist for tyus Jones 21 A2 minus 111 we know that he could make if he kills it with assist that’s extra stuff that can carry a points but we also know that he’s very well capable of covering his points prop right it’s only 12 and a
Half so yeah this is probably the one that I I’ll probably lean to the most points and assists his matchup is both good so tyus Jones that’s definitely one that I’ve got down on my list who else is there looking at their last 10 so Kyle
Kosma we see he’s hit 70% of his points and rebounds prop in his last 10 games he has struggled against OKC in the past though so let’s check that out seven of his last 10 the matchup for points is difficult he’s got a decent match up for rebounds though in head-to-head matches
He did Cover in his last game against OKC that was about four weeks ago 22 points and 15 rebounds my Lord and then prior to that these two games were last season so I wouldn’t put too much stock into that yeah so looking at his last 10
He has had some strong rebound many games but his rebound is inconsistent and he’s also had some excellent scoring games but that’s wildly inconsist inconsistent as well so welcome to the Kyle kosma show road game for the Wizards let’s check his last 10 Road games last 10 Road games he’s only
Covered in five of his last 10 but he has covered in four of his last five Road games so um last one was against the Denver Nuggets 31 points 12 rebounds did that move for Jordan pull to the bench is that a beneficial thing for K
Kma perhaps so I do not know the answer to that but this is a lean for me I I honestly don’t mind this right but I don’t like betting on Kyle kosma so that’s my one reservation for taking K Kyle kosma but you might think otherwise
So over the last 10 nothing else is screaming out to me there looking at a shorter sample size just in their last five so we know tyus Jones is there Marvin Bley to get one and a half assist oh this is a very juy play plus 160 so
He’s hit this in four out of his last five the matchup is pretty good the Thunder allow the third most assists to centers four out of his last five but only five out of his last 10 doesn’t have a head-to-head match up to call out really this is a coin flip because I
Couldn’t tell you whether this is going over or under right but sometimes I take bets like this purely because I feel like it should be a 50/50 it should be a toss of a coin it should be a pick them plus 100 is where the odd should be but
If you’re getting plus 160 for something that looks like it happens 50% of the time it might be worth taking now one thing to keep in mind in his last 20 games hit this eight out of his last 20 but then I like to look at how long has
He been playing for the Washington Wizards since here so that’s in 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 so 12 games he’s played for the Washington Wizards and he’s hit this in 7 out of 12 games which is above 50% right so I think if you’re
Just doing the mathematics here we know that matchup is good against OKC we know that his form in his last five games really his form since joining the Washington Wizards is good in terms of covering this prop he is not a playmaker by any stretch of the imagination but if
I had a chance to play this ex this exact bet 100 times I would take it a 100 times from Marin Bagley because let’s just say he hits this bet 50 times if you hit this bet 50 times out of 100 at plus 160 odds you’re going to be
Making profit my friend so for that I’m going to put that on my list of leans I don’t mind that Marvin baggley assists let’s take a look at that so I haven’t checked my sports book yet but if I’m getting these types of odds you’re probably going to see it in the pin
Comment so Marvin baggley what else is there Shay gildas Alexander over two and a half first quarter assists now this is only in the um last five games he’s hit in four of his last five six out of his last 10 the matchup is a great one the
Wizards do allow the second most assisted point guards but he’s only oh hasn’t done it well against the Wizards in the past so he’s gone under in his last two games against the Washington Wizards so that leaves me a little bit hesitant looking at the first quarter
Stuff his recent form is okay but you know SGA might just go out there and try to get 50 points right so that makes me a little bit hesitant Denny ARA his of over 26 and a half now he has he did have some really big games just before
Allstar break but he sucked today so before the allstar break he was killing it came up against the Denver Nuggets had five points four rebounds and one assists he’s got a very difficult matchup check that out the Thunder the fewest points the third fewest rebounds and the second fewest
Assist allowed to small forwards in head-to-head matchups he’s gone under in three consecutive games against the KC Thunder so yeah look I’d definitely be leaning to the the under for this pick but um given his form his last five you might be hesitant to take the under and
I get that so it might be a pick that’s just not worth taking at all what else do we have tyus Jones tus Jones there pretty much tus Jones in most prop areas could be a good play you can look at his first quarter points you can look at his
Points plus his rebounds your boy’s getting it done I do like his points and assist the most based of everything I’ve seen let’s have a look at Jay dub so we’re looking at his rebounds plus assists over 9 and a half he’s hit this in four out of his last five check that
Out terms of the matchup look the Wizards have a pretty they give everyone a good matchup except for probably power forwards so they do a good job on power forwards by the looks of things but Jaylen Williams has got it done against them before check that out last three
Games against the Wizards he’s had 10 11 and 17 so most recently seven rebound and 10 assists against the Washington Wizards Wizards so six out of his last 10 but four out of his last five let’s check his home games last 10 home games for Jaylen Williams he’s only covered
This in three out of his last 10 just come a quick look at injuries there’s no one noteworthy to call out apologies MISD delivers but yeah look he’s form the at home that’s a bit questionable isn’t it he’s only hit it in three of his last 10 but he has got it done
Against the Wast wizard so I’d probably lean to the over on this one but it’s not screaming actually that’s a lie I’m not even going to lean to it because I’m tracking my leans and I’m not leaning on that one I don’t like it I don’t like it
Enough not that I hate it oh my God I’m rambling again so there the ones in the last five looking at head-to-head matchups let’s check this out real quick so we’ got Chad hren 24 and a half points and rebounds so he’s only vers the washingon Wizards once but he did
Score 31 points and four rebounds as a center it’s an easy matchup second easiest match up for points the easiest matchup for rebounds um 31 and four in their last matchup in his last 10 he’s covered this in five of those five of those games and in his last five he’s
Covered it three times so the matchup for this one is pretty good but yeah Chad’s been bit inconsistent for my liking the matchup is excellent don’t get me wrong most centers I would take it but pette he’s not your traditional Center that the Washington Wizards tend to struggle against um has the length
But not necessarily the strength and and the girth to do some damage so that’s not going to make my lean list at all we got some more tyus Jones action here more tyus Jones Jaylen Williams and kma rebounds and assists but I wouldn’t be interested in playing that either so
None of these other props are really screaming out to me so not to say that there’s probably no value out there but based with the criteria and how we’re looking um those aren’t yelling out to me but if we check just the unders let’s check the unders right so we see a lot
Of green on these so the two players that’s scream out to me here is Josh giddy’s one let’s go Australia and sgaa rebounds and assists is another so let’s check out Josh giddy 18 and a half points in rebounds so he’s gone under this in five consecutive games he’s gone
Under an eight out of his last 10 right the matchup though is not great for this type of bet because the Wizards a terrible against shooting guards for points and rebounds and in head-to-head matches he has gone undering two out of his last three against the Washington
Wizards so for this one I would definitely lean to the UN because Josh giddy’s just not getting it done he’s obviously not getting the minutes he’s averaging 25 minutes a game um he’s taking about 10 shots a game so if he’s taking 10 shots he’s making four to five
Of them well he’s making four I have to make that up 41% from the field so if he’s making four and he might make two three pointers or a free throw he’s probably getting about 10 points and rebound wise he he’s not destroying them on the glass either as of late so I
Think Josh giddy under PR under that points and rebounds that’s going to make my lean list Josh g under 18 and a half rebounds and points so uh what else is there we had sgaa Under 12 and a half rebounds and assists so in terms of the
Matchup again not a good one for this type of bet and it’s partly why we see the under in this one because the matchup is so good they’ve had to lift the lines I can pretty much guarantee you his line was not 12 and a half in
All of these games so he’s pretty much been very close to this 12 and a half so I wouldn’t be willing to take the under on this in head-to-head matchups though he has got under in his last two if I had to pick one on this play it would be
A gent H but yeah it’s not convincing enough for me to take that even as a lean right now so they’re probably the main ones that I would look at after looking at all this Kyle kosma first quarter rebounds so Kyle kosma has gone under one and a
Half rebounds in nine of his last 10 games which is pretty crazy because this game against Denver I think he had like 12 rebounds but in the first quarter alone only had one rebound I wonder what that’s all about in head-to-head matchups he did have six re rebounds in
His last game in the first quarter against OKC so yeah look this is interesting but I wouldn’t take that b at all for Kyle kosma let’s jump into the over and get into the next game the Phoenix Suns versus the Houston Rockets if we look at the last 10
Firstly nothing’s screaming out to me right now so let’s have a look at Devon Booker’s first quarter points eight and a half seems like a lot H didn’t allow the fifth FS points to point guards in the first quarter Devon book has covered this in seven out of his last 10 games
Though in the first quarter he normally plays the whole first quarter right so the opportunities are definitely going to be there in head-to-head matchups he’s covered this in two out of his last three games against the Rockets one matchup against them this season but he only scored five points in that game in
That first quarter not in that whole game so yeah I’m not feeling that for Deon Booker already all these other players looking at their last 10 obviously nothing screaming out so if we look over the last five what do we get we get told Dylan Brooks has been
Hitting this quite well over his last five so let’s check that out it’s plus 100 odds he’s hit this in four out of his last five games in his last 10 he’s hit this in six out of his last 10 okay has inversed the Phoenix Suns as a
Member of the Houston Rockets So the Houston Rockets are at home let’s check out Dylan Brooks last 10 games at home and he’s hit this in five out of his last 10 the matchup is is a difficult one the Phoenix Suns allow the fifth fewest points to small forwards on the
Season so Dylan Brooks sometimes a bet on you today I am not going to so yeah looking at the hit rates over the last five nothing really compelling looking at head-to-head form though let’s see what comes up Kevin Durant over one and a half assists head-to-head form there’s
Only one game to really call out so yeah I know he got three assists last time but over his last 10 nothing very convincing going on there the matchup is pretty good though I could see it happening but Kevin Durant burnt me on a prop today so I’m not interested so a
Lot of KD props but that’s because he had one good game which shows his head-to-head record as being excellent so I’m not screwing around with KD in this one nothing else leaping out of the page to me let’s check the under maybe this could be the good game for under
Green green green machine Let’s Go All right so the first one that gives me we’re looking at these three shenon Booker oh actually these two let’s check out Al shingu so he points rebounds and assists the line is at 34 a half he’s covered this in seven out of his last 10
Well he’s g under in seven out of his last 10 in terms of the matchup the Suns allow the eighth fuel points the third fewest rebounds but the eighth most assists to centers so that’s quite interesting head-to-head matchups he’s gone under in four consecutive games against the Phoenix Suns so I find
That’s quite interesting so that makes me lean to the under as well for shenon I think the one thing you need to consider is look Phoenix just played today against the Dallas Mavericks the Houston Rockets did they play today actually oh they did they vers the
Pelicans sorry I I didn’t bet on that game so I forgot all about it but so both teams are run back toback which I think is fair but even in this game he’s had 20 points nine rebounds and two assists which is decent but it’s only 31
P you’d be needed get 35 in order to clear this so yeah I like this pick actually Alper and Shang I’m going to put that on my lean list and get back to it after I finish recording alperin shenon um let me just have a quick look
At his last 10 home games okay maybe I don’t like it too much so check this out his last 10 home games he’s gone under only three times so he’s gone over this seven of his last 10 games at home now I’m a little bit hesitant so I’m
Going to take that off my lean list because this scares me and this is why it’s so important to use something like outli bet take your time be a little bit thorough with it consider everything because if you just go off basic information you’re going to get basic
Results so sometimes you got to dive in a little bit deeper so Kon I’m not mucking around with you let’s have a look at Deon Booker so it would be an under his P which is 392 you get that at plus 100 ODS he just a massive game
Against stas 35 points five rebounds and eight assists the matchup is a good one if we’ll heck in the under the Rockets allow the fifth Fest points 10 Fest rebounds and the Fest assist to point guards so that’s very good for this play looking at head-to-head matchups he has
Gone under in two of his last three games against Houston Rockets but the main one that counts is this one because that’s the only time they’ve played each other this season and in that game he had 20 points four rebounds and seven assists right which is 31 that’s
Actually well under the P that we’re looking for it’s not a bad game and the Phoenix Sun’s won that game but it’s well under this 39 a half this game he scored 41 points against them that’s pretty crazy one thing I do also like to look at right so he’s gone under seven
Out of his last 10 he is capable of busting this wide open right if he has a massive game scoring the ball but if we have a look at his season he goes through these stretches so this is 2023 46 games and in 46 games he does go
Through these Hot patches Hot Patch Hot Patch Hot Patch so he goes through these patches where he’s absolutely on fire so the one thing that I’m worried about is is this the start of another Hot Patch meaning will he continue this or is this the outlier where he does it once but
Right now I’m still leaning on this pick the matchup is good the matchup is good form over the last 10 is good form against the opponent is somewhat decent I’m going to put that right on my lean list Devin Booker I know he’s P okay I’ll get back to you later Mr
Book actually while I’m here let’s look at his last 10 games on the road last 10 Road games he’s only gone under four times so Devon Booker might be a road warrior he’s gone over in six out of his last 10 Road games I’m not taking
It off the list I think this is still worth considering it’s just given me more to consider so there’s D book who else have we got let’s have a look at Grace Allen so we’re looking at an under 15 a half points in rebounds he’s hit
The under of this in nine of his last 10 games he lines up at the three but he blazs both the two and the three but the matchup we can say is a good one the problem though he’s only got one match up against the Rockets which is this
Season and he had 16 points and four rebounds so that’s an interesting one injury wise look the checker for this game Bradley Bill is a game time decision so I wonder if Bradley Bill is playing in this game Bradley Bill Yes actually no so this is games
Without Bradley Bill so Bradley Bill did not play in this game so if we look at his last 10 games with Bradley Bill in the lineup he’s gone under an eight of his last 10 Sacramento Kings that is a good matchup I know that for sure I actually remember betting on that game
And Dallas it’s a good matchup for wings as well so I think I’m going to lean the under on this one Grayson Allen leaning the under on his points and rebounds but I’m going to put a prerequisite there is if Bradley Bill is out actually not Bradley Bill is out Bradley Bill needs
To be in Bradley Bill is in I’m taking this play if Bradley b is out I’m not going to touch it hopefully that makes sense what else comes to mind here Kev Durant so we know his recent form pretty much already know this his recent form is pretty good at covering this line
Going under sorry but he did Scorch the Phoenix Suns in their last match I mean the Houston Rockets in their last matchup so the rest is shenon shenon shenon Jabari Smith Jr looking at his points line at Under 12 and a half you can get that for plus money he’s got
Under in seven out of his last 10 and his last match up against Phoenix which is this season he only scored nine points he played 22 minutes only attempted five shots so look at his last 10 games he’s averaging only 10 shots per game but he’s playing 30 minutes so
I’m a little bit hesitant to take that I don’t like betting on Jabari Smith Jr anyway but pretty much from this game they’re the main things that I would have to call out so Devon Booker under in his p and graceon Allen undering his points and rebounds if Bradley Bill is
Playing okay we’re looking at the Miami Heat versus the New Orleans Pelicans same filter on let’s look at the overs first thing going to look through look through the last 10 only thing in the green here is Brandon Ingram in his rebound prop in the first quarter so
Getting odds of minus 110 he’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 games the matchup is not a bad one the Miami Heat allow their ninth most rebounds to shooting guards this season he doesn’t have a head-to-head match up against them though in recent times so that
Makes a little bit difficult in terms of injuries what do we got here Tyler Heroes game time Richardson Rosier out um and Brandon Ingram himself he’s a game time decision so the lesson I learned today if their game time decisions Don’t Go Near them so you can
See what this is pretty much telling me right so this is why I don’t bet many Pelicans games and I don’t bet many Miami Heat games a lot of these players are quite inconsistent so looking at their last 10 nothing screaming out to me if we go through last five perhaps if
We want to be picky about recent form got Tyler hero up here as well so here’s a game time decision but let’s check check him out looking at his assist prop in the first quarter one and a half it’s plus 165 I don’t mind that he’s hit this
In four out of his last five but only five out of his last 10 he has covered this in two consecutive games against the Pelicans though matchup wise the Pelicans do allow the second most assisted shooting guards on the season Tyler herro is probably playing a lot
More point guard these days though uh so let’s quickly check the point guard match up and it’s a really difficult one fifth Fest assist to point guard so that makes it a little bit difficult Tyler hero I’m not feeling it too much to be honest because it’s only his last five
Games all the the other factors pretty much going against him and what else do we have Zion Williamson he doesn’t have head-to-head form he’s last 10 that’s a little bit suspect as well so he’d really be betting on his recent form but the one thing I want to play around with
Is how he goes with and without Brandon Ingram so we can see he’s killed this his last four out of his last five games let’s check him out without Brandon Ingram he’s only covered in two out of his last five even that that’s not that
Great is it so not too keen on Zion Williamson what else is there if we’re looking in the last five Jimmy Butler looking at his P 32 and a half is the line he’s covered this in four out of his last five games the matchup is a
Difficult one so he probably pick up um herb Jones last 10 he’s covered in six out of his last 10 so really he’s covered this in six out of his last seven games so his recent form is very good old Jimmy um head-to-head matchups he has gone under in two consecutive games against
The Pelicans so might be a difficult match up for Jimmy in this one struggled against him in the past but his recent form is great but I look he’s ticking one of the three boxes so I personally wouldn’t take Jimmy but just got to call out that his recent form is good and
Look this is why it’s so important to use this as a shortcut right you want to see as many green light as possible the last few players have only had one green light and where where do we end up it’s like there’s not enough evidence to
Support me taking this pick if we want to look at the under though we might see a little bit more green in this one so back to the last 10 what do we have Duncan Robinson under in his P let’s check Duncan out it’s 18 and a half he’s
Gone under in seven out of his last 10 the matchup is it’s a good matchup for ERS right so what we do want to check because they do have a few injuries let’s go Josh Richardson Terry Rosier his games without those two firstly right so he’s gone under in six
Of 10 but he’s gone over in his last two now if Tyler herro does not play what then happens to Duncan Robinson he still goes under anyway okay okay um so the under definitely on the cards hasn’t played the New Orleans Pelicans recently so we don’t have any numbers for that
But he’s these last two games were excellent I don’t know if I’m brave enough to take the under to be honest so that leaves me guessing um other than that there’s nothing really screaming out right like you’ve got Zion rebounds perhaps he’s gone under in seven out of
His last 10 lines at five and a half in terms of the matchup pretty good if we like the end the Miami he allow the ninth fewest rebounds to power forwards so that I don’t mind but yeah look it’s got to be very compelling in order for
Me to take an under and that’s not compelling at all so um and if you guys were wondering I have not looked at these lines prior to doing this so a lot of these I’m seeing for the very first time which is why my reaction is probably very and I look like I’m
Lost because maybe I am so yeah looking at these unders nothing really screaming out to me head-to-head unders that doesn’t yell out to me either so let’s jump into the next game hopefully we can find some juice it’s the Denver Nuggets versus the Portland Trailblazers what looks nice
And green to me this appears quite green Michael Porter Jr over one and a half rebounds in the first quarter but first let’s check the injuries kcp is a game time decision for the Blazers Brogden is out scoot Henderson is out shanon hasar still out Jabari Walker a game time
Decision so for this Denver Portland game if you’re looking at an over I’d probably just look at the first quarter anyway because blowout is a risk we saw the um dead nugget today against the Washington Wizards they won the game by 20 but they’ll pretty much up by 20 points what
In the second quarter so big blowout risk a lot of their guys still played a lot of minutes though but anyway let’s talk R mpj we’re looking at minus 109 odds to for him to get two rebounds in the first quarter the matchup with the Blazers somewhat difficult ranking 12th
Um in terms of rebounds allowed to power forwards sorry small forwards against small forwards they allow the third fewest rebounds so that’s not good but he’s hit this in eight of his last 10 14 of his last 20 and he’s hit this in three of his last five games against
Portland is vers Portland twice this season I believe yep twice this season and both of these were earlier this month two rebounds and then three rebounds so this wouldn’t have changed too much the matchup difficulty would have been just as difficult earlier in the season early in the I meant three
Weeks ago so I’m not overly concerned about the matchup side of things recent form it’s not bad but again we’re only getting minus 109 so if this was one of those plays we were getting like plus 120 it’s a bet that you take every single time this bet if you took it
Every single time you probably would end up profitable but at those odds I’m not willing to take a gamble on it but it’s that’s quite interesting the next one let’s have a look at DeAndre Aton because sometimes he can really deliver and I think he’ll have a good match up
Here so lon’s at 15 and a half points you’re getting plus money for this plus 100 he’s hit this in eight out of his last 10 games the Nuggets allow the seventh most points to senders on the season now this 50-year-old looking dog only scored two points against Minnesota
Tims and I’m calling that out because I took the over for DeAndre at in that game and he was was absolutely terrible only scoring two points it was a somewhat difficult match up but he had smoked the Minnesota Timberwolves prior to that but yeah I still don’t like him
A little bit because of that performance but at the end of the day I put the bet on so I need to be accountable for that so have a look at how he’s gone against Denver so he’s versed the Nuggets twice right and this is the magic of DeAndre
18 eight points in the first matchup 27 points in the next matchup play 26 and then 38 minutes in those two games both both of these games are on the road so looking at his last 10 he’s got obviously got this in eight out of his
Last 10 let’s check out his last 10 home games though and he’s covered that in seven out of his last 10 so if I had to probably lean to the over but thing is I don’t have to right so yeah I’m not confident in taking DeAndre Aiden
Despite the the numbers in his recent form maybe I’m hurt by that two-point game against the timber walls but I’m not willing to take it filtering through the last five games do we see anything juicy okay Michael Porter Jr first quarter point so mpj in the first
Quarter we might be able to get busy with him so four and a half points is his line you get that for plus money plus 105 matchup is difficult third fewest points allowed to small forwards on the season but he has hit this in four out of his last five he’s also
Covered this in five consecutive games against the Portland child Blazers now I might be able to screw around with this one because in the first quarter of those games he averaged 7.8 minutes his last five games he’s averaging 8.5 minutes so he’s playing more minutes in
His last five games compared to the five games where he did cover this against Portland so at plus 105 what are we ticking what boxes are we taking off here recent form is good the odds are where we want it to be the matchup is not good but his performance against the
Portland trial Blazers says that he can most definitely do it the only thing I would want to check is probably his last 10 games on the road and if that checks out we might be betting Michael Porter Jr oh God all right check this out he’s
Covered in four of his last 10 games on the road and one of his last five games on the road so it’s a good thing we’ve checked the Home and Away splits here because if I didn’t check this I would have placed the BET already look it’s
Still a lean for me to be honest because his last Road game against the Portland Trail BL scored five so I think what this is telling me is most of the games he’s played against them have been at home that’s right his last four games against Portland have all been home
Games so I’m actually not going to put this on my list actually I’m going to put on my list purely because I want to go back and reflect in this junior points I’m not going to bet on this one I’m telling you now points in the first
Quarter so it’s four and a half points so I’ll be watching that game closely we’ll see how mpj goes and if he goes under I’ll be thanking my lucky stars I check the Home and Away splits but if you ises over then I’ll probably kick myself in the face but over the last
Five games there’s nothing else that’s screaming out to me here if we look at head-to-head matchups given the long history that these teams have what have we got Nicola yic over 34 and a half points and assists so in head-to-head matchups he’s covered this in five consecutive games against Portland so
That’s good the matchup he’s got a good matchup to score points assists it’s not bad either but it’s not a great matchup so his points and assists he’s covered in five of his last six if we look at his last 10 games he’s only covered in
Five of his last 10 but let’s check the away splits because that might work in our favor and it has not so five out of his last 10 Road games he’s covered this in So yeah so what do we have we have a somewhat decent matchup head-to-head
Form is so that’s him on the road his last Road game against Portland this is in 2022 by the way 3 3 and N so even that you can dismiss he’s played them twice and he’s covered this with 39 and 36 but hasn’t really necessarily covered
It with ease so look I’m a bit hesitant so I’m not going to put that on my lean list but I find that quite interesting and DeAndre Aiden check this out one assist in the first quarter that’s interesting you can get that for plus 133 um he’s covered this in his last two
Games against Denver so that’s interesting and looking at his last 10 games he’s covered it six times checking his last 10 games at home he’s only covered at two out of 10 games so um and this is why it pays to use something like outlier you can do your deep Dives
You often might think you have a good pick and then you research it a little bit further and then you’re like it’s not a good pick at all so DeAndre aen I’ll have to pass on that but yeah you guys have to check it outlier because there’s so many different things
You could be doing with this right now this is just how are you use it but you really have to play around with it to figure out your own strategy if you’re interested obviously there’s a link in the description it’s a free trial take advantage of that I know a lot of you
Guys are clicking it anyway so I’m going to stop overselling it let’s have a look at the Milwaukee bux versus the Minnesota Timberwolves shall we um the first player that we see screaming out to us is Brooke Lopez so we’ve got his P his points and rebounds and his assist
Prop what we’re going to do we’ll look at his P cuz that’s going to cover all three so first thing to call out in terms of the matchup he’s got a difficult match up for points difficult match up for rebounds and assists is in the middle not good nor bad he’s covered
This line in eight of his last 10 games he this is a road game for the buck so he’s covered this in seven of his last 10 Road games he’s actually covered this in five Road games in a row so that’s pretty good and if we look at head-to-head matchups he’s covered this
In two out of his last three games against the Minnesota timber wols but keep this in mind he only finished on 19 right so it’s not like he smashed it this is too close for comfort I think this line is pretty much spot on I’m not
Willing to take it quick look at the injuries though jannis connington galinari all game time decisions Chris Middleton is out so jannis doesn’t miss too many games these days so what I’d be interested in is maybe how does Brook Lopez play without Young yanis okay so this season it’s only been two games
Without jannis but in Prior years he killed it without Yannis eight out of his last 10 14 of his last 20 going over but yeah I’m not feeling it I think there’s too many reasons not to pick it and I think I honestly think that line
Is right on the money he could finish on 19 again or he could get hooked could finish on 18 right so let’s have a look at this man rudig go bear so we’re looking at his first quarter rebounds lines at three and a half and you can
Get that for plus money he’s hit this in seven of his last 10 last game against Portland he had nine rebounds in the first quarter matchup wise the Bucks are the eighth most rebounds to centers on the season looking at head-to-head matchups two matchups here one in 2022
So I won’t put too much stock into that but his last game against Milwaukee Bucks about two to three weeks ago he had four rebounds in the first quarter and he covered this line that was a road game as well so they’re back at home now
So he’s covered this seven out of his last 10 let’s check his last 10 games at home last 10 games at home he’s covered this six times so yeah I’d probably lean to the over to be honest for Rudy but yeah he’s got the odds his recent form’s
Okay form against the opponent is okay but three and a half rebounds in the first quarter is a lot uh Rudy plays nine minutes on average in the first quarter so you don’t get a full quarter out of him you pretty much need him to get like a rebound every two minutes so
Um I’ll pass thank you Rudy thanks for coming and who else is there let’s have a look at this one here Mike Conley first quarter points so we know the Bucks don’t defend point guards quite well they allow the fourth most points to point guards on the season over his
Last 10 games Mike Conley has covered this well you really just need him to make a bucket right so he’s basically covered this in six out of his last 10 but he’s covered this in four out of his last five really he’s covered in five out of his last six in head-to-head
Matchups he did score three points the last time these guys played in the first quarter so again just needs to make one bucket you’re getting 50/50 odds here on the season he’s hit it at 54% last 20 at 55% last 10 at 60% and his last five at
80% so his recent form is very good his form on over the season is better than what the odds indicate um the matchup is a good one against the Milwaukee Bucks how many minutes does he play but Mike Conley only plays 6.9 minutes in the first quarter
So if you’re going to sweat you’re not going to be sweating for long that’s all I’ll say on this one so yeah I think that’s interesting what I’m going to do is drop this down I’m I’m not going to take this bet but I just think it’s
Really interesting to take note of and then I’ll watch the game with some Intrigue cuz if he does make a bucket nice and early then then it’s an opportunity gone missing but let’s check his last 10 games at home maybe that makes it easier for us right six out of
His last 10 games at home he’s covered in so again that still leaves me a little bit hesitant but I think that’s interesting Mike Conley we’ve looked at Brook Lopez rebounds already um and then yeah there’s nothing else screaming out to me filtering by the last five games we still much we see
Much of the same props that we’ve been through and if we look at the to head yeah there’s not too much happening here either all right so let’s check the unders for this game so Mike Conley P’s come up in this one under 19 a half P
He’s gone under in eight of his last 10 games the matchup if you’re looking at the under it’s good for his assists not bad for his rebounds points Wise It’s not a great one in head-to-head matchups he did have 32 Pas in their last matchup 18 points five rebounds nine assists and
I’m not overly surprised by that because the Bucks don’t defend point guards very well so even though he’s recent form says take the under all day every day that form against the box is enough to scare me off so I won’t be touching that we’ve got Janis under 17 a half rebounds
And assists that could be an interesting one especially if he’s a game time decision he’s g under 17 and a half in seven out of his last 10 games matchup is a difficult one the timber wols allow the third fewest rebounds and the fewest assists to power forwards on the season
But he’s killed them in the past so this is 2022 he had 14 rebounds 11 assists then he had 20 rebounds and five assists but then most recently three weeks ago he had three rebounds and seven assists against them we played 27 minutes but the Tims did blow the Bucks out right
And the Bucks they’re not playing well right now so there there’s a chance that this could happen again right this is a road game another game in Minnesota so I wonder how Janis has been going on the road on the road he’s only gone unknown
Five of his last 10 so he had been playing great how many games what’s the their record without with Doc Rivers like three and seven or something like that um so if we have a look at that if if my if I hope I haven’t made that up
If they if doc ruers has been there for 10 games Giannis has gone under in seven of them so yeah I don’t mind the under here for yanis butus 119 I don’t like it now so so Wonder watch Janis undering his rebounds and assists I think it’s
Worth shopping around to see what type of odds you can get but yeah nothing else is screaming out to me in this game Let’s jump into the next one it’s a Charlotte horners versus Golden State Warriors Charlotte Hornets great team to bet on because they got some juicy happening let’s
Check their last 10 games all right so looking at this one in the last 10 we don’t see the green light that I like to see but um let’s muck around with it for a bit firstly let’s have a look at Jonathan kaminga looking at his assist
Prop so his line for this one is 2 and A2 minus 104 odds he’s hit this in eight out of his last 10 the matchup is decent the Hornets allow the 10th most assist to power forwards on the season and Jonathan kaminga is playing at home in
This one so if we look at his last 10 games at home he’s only gone over in five of his last 10 so that makes me a little bit hesitant looking at his games against the Charlotte Hornets he’s gone under in both of them so all we really
Have to tick off here his recent form is good and the positional matchup is good but form against the opponent’s not good and his form at home is not convincing enough for me to take Cody Martin now I just took Cody Martin over four and a half rebounds at plus money today and
God that was sweaty I think yeah he finished on five rebounds right against Utah I think he had four rebounds in the first quarter and didn’t get his fifth rebound to the last minute of the game so he was stressing me out I’ve already
Lost a lot of hair so I was losing more thanks to this guy but let’s talk a bit more about Cody Cody Martin in terms of the matchup we’re looking at shooting guards and small forwards somewhat difficult matchup he’s hit this in eight of his last 10 games so recent form is
Good he’s hit this in six games in a row now so that’s good doesn’t have a head-to-head matchup with the Golden State Warriors so that makes it a little bit more difficult to ascertain and looking at away games he’s hit this in three of his last 10 games on the
Road so that makes me quite hesitant to take it I won’t be taking Cody Martin in this one what else do we have going on here Andrew Wiggins first quarter points I don’t like bitting on Andrew Wiggins but let’s have a look at this so the matchup is great the Hornets allow the
Second most points to small forwards on the season Andrew Wiggins recent forms pretty good he’s hit this in six out of his last seven Gam games he’s gone over his first quarter points we can get this at plus 100 against the Hornets the last time they played this was in 2022 though
He only scored two uh three points played eight minutes in the first quarter these days he’s playing yeah seven to eight minutes in the first quarter on average so you basically need him to get two buckets to cover this three and a half points matchup is good recent form is
Good let’s check out his form at home and it’s not bad five out of his last 10 but four out of his last five he’s covered this I’m going to have to put this as a lean lean for now for Andrew Wiggins what else do we see Draymond Green over
Two and a half first quarter points I’m not bettered on Draymond I listen to his podcast though let’s check out Steph Curry checking out over 39 and a half PR against the Charlotte Hornets so he’s covered this in five out of his last six and six out of his last 10 games the
Matchup with the Hornets is difficult for points and easy for assists and in the middle for rebounds head to-head matchups he last time he versed them was in 2022 31 Points 11 rebounds and six assists but Steph Curry starting to age quite quickly playing extremely well
Though let’s check out um his games at home Jesus check this out so Steph Curry’s covered this line in six consecutive games at home now you’ve got my interest so I don’t mind that at all so we know that his recent form is okay his form at home since the end of
January is excellent so almost a month um and then yeah this is his recent form so it’s not too bad he can really fill up the stud sheet this B wonder what his points prop is do we see the same numbers if we do like this six
Out of his last 10 and he’s covered in six straight games at home so at home he scored 30 plus points in six straight games but the matchup is a bit difficult adjust points alone so P might be the way to go it’s covered in six straight
Games at home so not only can he contribute points wise he’s getting a lot of assists but it really is the points which is driving this over so the line for this is also 12 a half so there’s a blowout risk you can actually filter using outlier um all the games
Where they’re favored so you can say any game with the Warriors let’s say they win by more than 10 in games with the Warriors have won by 10 Steph Curry’s covered this in five of his last 10 but he has covered in three straight so if
You want to if you have a script on the outcome of the game this is another way that you could use it but yeah look I’m a little bit hesitant now the more they look at Steph Curry other than that there’s nothing screaming out to me for
The over where’s my man where’s my man try man tray man not coming up ah right lamelo balls a game time decision so tray man markets aren’t available that’s interesting so lamelo B would come back I wouldn’t bet on him in his first game back anyway um we got Brandon Miller
Miles Bridges highly inconsistent though if we’re looking at head-to-head none of those guys seem to come up so yeah nothing screaming out to me in this game I got to say wigan’s first quarter points though that could be an interesting one so let’s have a look at
The actually didn’t even look at the unders let’s check the unders real quick my bad okay we don’t have the green lights that I’m looking for Draymond under 15 and a half points and assists let’s have a look at that plus 100 he’s gone under in seven
Out of his last 10 the matchup is good for the under for points not so much for assists but he hasn’t been getting the assists the way that he used to anyway inan head-to-head matches he’s only got the two he did go under in his last one both of these games in 2022
Though and looking at his last 10 games at home drone’s gone under in five of his last 10 so not a real compelling argument to take the under there for Draymond there actually isn’t a compelling argument for many or it could be someone like Brandon Miller right so
I’m thinking here the Hornets do have more depth after the trade especially in their back court lamelo ball could be coming back as well could mean less usage rate for Brandon Miller so he’s gone under in five out of his last 10 but he’s gone under what five of his
Last six really so I think this is after the trade deadline the trains happened and Brandon Miller’s production went down his minutes are still somewhat decent but his yeah his shot attempts have come back down so I don’t mind that the matchup difficult the worriors allow the
F assists and points it’s not good nor bad okay let’s check check out so we know Brandon Miller’s recent form is great and we know that that’s happened after the trade deadline so this is the new Baseline for him matchup is difficult so yeah Atlanta so he scored
26 points and got four assists the Atlanta Hawks are notorious for giving up everything to shooting guards so that is an easy match up for him plus the Hornets beat the by 30 so the whole team must have been on song so I don’t mind this I don’t mind what I’m finding out
Right here now let’s take a look at Brandon Miller’s last 10 games on the road he’s gone over in four of his last 10 he’s gone under in six but these three were obviously before the trade deadline but after they move Rosier and with no lamelo ball in the lineup what I
Think could be interesting let’s check out his last game last 10 games with lamelo ball in the lineup he’s gone under in six of he’s actually gone under in 14 of 19 games with lamelo ball in the lineup so what I’m going to do this
I’m going to put this as a lean as Brandon Miller points and assists if lamelo if lamelo plays s is my lean right now if lamelo’s in we’re taking the Brandon Miller under all right let’s jump into the last game it’s the San Antonio Spurs versus the
Los Angeles Lakers I’m sure we’re going to see every man in his dog as game time decisions in this one looking at the over though what do we see green lights for D’Angelo Russell check this out this almost looks like Christmas so what do we got here firstly let’s check to see
How LeBron’s going LeBron’s a game time decision cam reddish is a game time decision Vanderbilt Vincent wood all out so what that means Anthony Davis not a game time decision on a backto back are you kidding me he is a new man all right
Let’s have a look at this so in his last 10 games he scored he’s got two assists in the first quarter in seven out of his last 10 games right matchup wise the Spurs allow the six most assist to point guards on the season head-to-head wise
He’s only versed them once this year he had five assists in the first quarter in that game so that’s pretty excellent but again small sample size we know that the Lakers are at home so let’s check out D’Angelo Russell’s last 10 home games and he’s covered this in seven out of
His last 10 home games we know that he gets more assists with LeBron James in uh out of the lineup let’s check to see how he dos with LeBron James in the lineup so those are his last seven games at home with LeBron James these are his
Last 10 games without LeBron James at home so still six out of 10 so the the form is positive the matchup is a good one the odds are great too I think I’m going to take this bet unless there’s something that I’m missing let me have a look minutes wise he’s playing nine
Minutes per first quarter we need him to get two assists he can most definitely get that in terms of pace pace factor both of these teams high up there on Pace pace which is pretty good so Spurs third highest pace and the Lakers the sixth highest pace so if there’s a lot
Of pace lot of chances to get um these assists for DLo whether it be Anthony Davis who should be primed up a big game against wemi or whether it’s LeBron or toian Prince whoever it is I don’t mind this I’m taking it DLo over one and a half
Assists first quarter boom shaka laka give me those green lines baby all right what else do we see so we’ve got D’s P what this is telling me he’s been hitting it well recently but he didn’t get it the last time he plays played the Spurs so he had 12 points three rebounds
10 assists last time they played the matchup is butt there’s a lot of scoring weapons their last 10 games though seven out of his last 10 last 10 games at home five out of his last 10 so the line might be just about right there for DLo
So I’m not keen for that let’s a look LeBron James points line 23 a half at the moment the matchup somewhat difficult not difficult at all sorry I take that back middle of the road LeBron’s hit this in seven out of his last 10 games against the Spurs he’s
Only hit this in one of his last four so that makes it quite difficult if we look at his last 10 games at home he’s actually covered in seven out of his last seven out of his last eight really he’s hit this line but he hasn’t hit it
Very well and look at mine is 119 odds I’m not playing around with that so on you can go back to your retirement home outside of that nothing screaming out to me last five same old stuff let’s check Devon Vel real quick because he’s someone that I was considering taking to
Score points he scored like 29 something points and I didn’t take it I didn’t I didn’t even consider it long enough so looking at his rebounds and assist propus 106 he’s hit this in four out of his last five the game he didn’t hit it he finished on eight so he got very
Close the matchup is okay the Lakers give up a lot of assists head-to-head matchups he’s hit this in three of his last five games against the Los Angeles Lakers they played each other twice this year in both of those games he had nine rebounds and assists so yeah look he’s
Not absolutely crushing this he’s just going over by half a rebound or half an assist so the hit rate is good but at – 106 the it’s probably right to be honest the line’s quite sharp there so I’m not willing to play around with that the only person I probably want to
Look at right and this is where outli can teach you so much but one thing you need to know is if W’s playing the opposition big man is probably going to have a massive erection walking into this game so I want to look at Anthony Davis points and rebounds his line is at
38 a half which is huge but he has hit this in three of his last five he’s not consistent and he never will be the matchup is excellent the Spurs the most points of centers when they last matched up ad had 37 points and 10 rebounds that’s what I’m talking about prior to
That uh there was no wemi in these three games so that’s the main one that I’m looking at the wemy factor the Anthony Davis points and rebounds that’s not a trend related thing that’s more the matchup up against wemi but he’s in five out of his last 10
Looking at home games he’s only hit this in four out of his last 10 but just checking to see the games to get up for what you’ll tend to find is if um Anthony Davis probably loves the bigger games and this game against wemi is
Going to there’s going to be a lot of attention on that one so yeah this isn’t a pick based on numbers right this is just gut feeling Vibe but I’m thinking Anthony dois Davis over 38 and a half points and how many Rens did he have against these guys again let me just
Check this out all right 37 points and 10 rebounds so I probably would take the rebounds I might even just look at his points because that’s where the matchup is the best three of his last four against the Spurs he’s covered in 11 of his last 20 five of his last 10
And three of his last five points line at 24 and a half minus 110 I think I’m going to take that one I’m going to take it let’s just see how my vibe’s going if he doesn’t hit this then my vibe can go eat and we should just stick to the
Numbers so taking the Anthony Davis over 24 and a half points I love that Wy matchup but outside of that nothing else screaming out to me from this game quick look at the under we don’t see a whole lot of green lights so I think we might
Just leave it at that all right so I switched up the strategy today I didn’t go through every single player I went through the players that got my attention and I explained to you my thought process around whether to make those picks or not and I did this with
The intention of making a shorter video but lo and behold here we are again almost 2 hours of research it’ll be less than two hours after I’ve done my editing of course but almost two hours worth of research on these NBA player props I do hope you guys appreciate all
The effort that I go through obviously this is all for free I’m not charging you guys at Absolute scent so let me know in the comments section do you like the style of today’s video or would you prefer me to go faster through more players where I might even touch on
Players where I would never even consider taking the pick would you like the thought process around this where I take you through outly pet bet let me know in the comments section below but remember sign up to outlier free trial in that free trial in the link below
Take advantage of it do what I’ve just done do it at the same time or don’t use it at all it doesn’t bother me but there is a free trial and it’s there for all of you guys my viewers um if you guys are interested in seeing more of my
Content because if you thought two hours wasn’t enough for me check out the interview right here check this interview out let me know what your thoughts are I’ll catch you guys in the next one peace to the channel CU your boys getting busy coming to your live
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21 Comments
1st. Yeah, yeah!!!😂 Lego.
My guy love this show🏆
I run 2 Units for my single bets – might have some Same Game Parlays/Multi's closer to tip off.
Tyus Jones over 21.5 Points+Assists $1.88
Vince Williams
Over 5.5 assists $2.20 (1 Unit)
Over 17.5 Points + Assists $1.90(1 Unit)
Trae Young Over 11.5 Assists $2.00
D’Angelo Russell Over 1.5 1Q assists $2.15
Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points $1.86
Josh Giddey Under 18.5 Points and Rebounds $1.81
Leans for tomorrow
Vince Williams 1Q Points IF JJJ Ruled out.
James Harden Rebounds
Santi Aldama Over Rebounds + Assists
Paul George Under 4.5 1Q Points
Marvin Bagley Over 1.5 Assists
Devin Booker Under PRA
Grayon Allen under PR – If Bradley Beal Is In
Porter Jr Over 4.5 1Q points
Mike Conley Over 2.5 1Q points
Wiggins Over 3.5 1Q Points
Brandon Miller under 22.5 Points + Assists IF Lamelo plays
Glad to have NBA back in the mix!
Thanks for explaining how you approach outlier. Keep up the good work
Trae young DD prop is almost a lock…also a lot of players are very healthy after a week of rest and some teams are completely different since the trade deadline, making the matchups considerably different….that all being said we are deep into the season and even though some matchups may be misleading….most stats should be pretty solid! Great video!
new viewer and you definitely got a like and subscribe but when you say “over” and “under” is that the +,- i’m jus a bit confused and the type of way you explain it is pretty good. 👍 keep it up
I definitely like the new way that you are going through the props bro.
I like the other way better
20+ points / 10+ assists -120
His hit rate is identical for this compared to his original points line of 23.5 on the year.
Appreciate your videos man. New to the channel & this is the kind of research i try to do but it’s tedious as f**k. Thanks
Whats up my guy. Thanks for the videos. I like the way u go thru each player like you had been doing. Each players pts rebs and asts. Just my opinion. Lets go! We appreciate it!
Tyus jones assists + rebounds been hitting for me too I guess that’s basically just his assists anyway
Love Your Info!
what does units mean
I prefer you go back to the old format and give your thought then let us ultimately decide what to do with the information given with it. But please keep doing your bets the same as you do in the pinned comments.Thank you and Keep up the great work!
I like the new way
Appreciate all you do!
I absolutely love your videos and appreciate the hard work. I do parlays and your picks come through! Keep it pushin my boy!
Does anybody know why on FanDuel if I do more than 1 say points and assists or any combo
I cam only do 1 player can’t do parley that way
Gotta say I dig the way you walk thru regularly but this is very useful as well. Maybe a tutorial like this every Friday. 🤷🏾♂️
Does anybody know why FanDuel won’t let me do more than 1 combo bets
Pra
Only 1 player