College Basketball Picks Today (3/4/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

College Basketball Picks Today (3/4/24) | Best NCAAB Bets & Predictions

What’s up everybody maaj jesi here back again with the odd shopper channel today we’re talking college basketball it is March the 4th conference tournaments are starting we’ll have March Madness very shortly here as you can see I come back from a tway absence and Google Chrome no longer supports virtual background so

You get my bedroom until the tech guys figure out how to fix this anyway hit the Thumbs Up Button subscribe that helps us a lot and we’re brought to you by bet MGM they are the featured sponsor of this video and they have a limited time offer for those of you in legal

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Anymore first game up we’re in the ACC Duke takes on NC State lot of little inate rivalries for this conference but we have Duke on the road the only real injury in this game to mention is on the Duke side where we have Caleb Foster who’s missed the last two games Duke has

A very deep rotation so I don’t think this is the most impactful injury they they’ve had injuries this year and withstood them you still have Proctor still have roach McCain Philip Kowski Mitchell of course inside and then some of the other rotational players so you still don’t lose that much by having

Foster off the court and Duke has been fine without him now they haven’t exactly played the most rigorous schedule in his two- game absence you had wins against Virginia who put up 48 points seemingly their their score every single game now in Louisville so not exactly the two best teams now you face

NC State I happen to think the Gap and efficiency is pretty pronounced between these teams as you can see on the screen Duke’s a top 10 offense NC State’s 75th defense you have Duke at 24th NC State comes in at 92nd and I think there’s a vast Talent gap on the interior for

These two teams Duke is Philip Kowski make fun of him all you want call him a coward he kind of is but he comes back from the court storming incident and has an absolute Monster game and NC State just doesn’t have anything inside you look at their in ior presence DJ Burns

Has given them nothing and he’s played below 20 minutes in two of the last three games he just can’t stay on the floor against Athletic bigs and now you face one of the Premier athletic bigs in Philip Kowski you have Ben Middlebrooks he’s basically playing 22

Minutes a game and then you have muhamad diara we’ve talked about diara a couple times now in videos he’s played well I still am a little nervous with him they’ve pulled the minutes out from under him multiple times this year he has an awesome block rate but then other

Than that that I’m not really sure what he does well pretty good rebounder especially on the defensive end but the guy’s still 610 you’re contending with Philip Kowski inside I’m not really sure how the NC State interior matches up with Duke and on paper it’s not great

This team is outside the top 100 in interior defense they’re outside the top 2115 and scoring on the inside they don’t shoot a lot of Threes And they’re not great at shooting them when they’re taking them outside the top 150 and three point percentage and they don’t

Defend the three well at all 273rd and three-point defense everything Duke does well inside they’re also 10th and three-point percentage with multiple Shooters in the elite categories rebounding this team 22nd versus 227 for NC State the height Gap is over 100 places in just true effective height

Turnovers NC State forces a little more but Duke also very secure with the ball Duke rarely in foul trouble NC State 196 in fouls committed they’re on the road yes it’s not a long long road trip but Duke needs these wins at this point in the season will lay the six with the

Away team in this contest all right next up we have two premier games as you can tell and then we’ll move to one greasy one it’s a very short Monday slate conference tournaments are coming up so a lot of teams are off some teams finish their season already but we’ll have bigger

Slates in the coming days the second of our Marquee games Texas takes on Baylor another pseudo rivalry game here we have Texas a road team who’s catching seven points which I think is a bit wide against Baylor I know we just saw Baylor come off the win against Kansas this

Weekend and impressive as that was you now face a Texas team who’s been up and down this year but pretty up of late they had the loss to Kansas themselves but otherwise they’ve won three of their last four and some of these are in pretty convincing fashion they just

Demolished Oklahoma State over the weekend prior to that double digit win against Texas Tech which is very impressive and that was on the road prior to that they beat Kansas pretty resoundingly too so this Texas team has somewhat turned around their season they’re still a bubble team but you can

Look at their efficiency metrics they’ve widely improved most of them largely by changing their rotation and getting Dylan D back who missed a large portion of the Year where I think you really see that as rebounding 107th in total rebounding Baylor’s 23rd effective height stuff mirrors this Texas 118th

Baylor 22nd but you have a pretty wide sample of this season without du on the floor who gives you a ton the guy actually stretches the floor spreads the floor shoots threes well which is important for Texas in this matchup because they do have defensive liabilities in this game dies will come

Back and he will help that interior which ranks 50th already but this team is a little bit suspect from three they’re 177th and three-point defense and they face Baylor who’s third in the country in three-point percentage so Texas is going to have to figure out a

Way to stop that which I think is important to this game but that’s not to say Texas doesn’t have advantages themselves on the inside this team should have no problem scoring Baylor’s interior defense is horrific they’re 238 on the inside and Texas almost near the top 80 and two point percentage not to

Mention they’re pretty good at threes themselves 63rd and 3point percentage most of that coming via Max Asus some of the ancillary stuff you do have to worry about fouls really constantly with both teams the one thing I’ll say is Mei has been in a little more foul trouble of

Late compared to Du at the five spot so I’m a little bit worried about Baylor in that regard but ultimately I think this is just closer than the seven points indicate advantages both sides Texas should be able to score inside Baylor should be able to score from three but

We’ve got a a spread pretty wide here with a Texas team playing much better once you look at recent play last game we’ll talk about here and one that we should shop is Idaho taken on Portland State like the under 141 but you might be able to find 141 ones and a

Half 142s odd Shopper is the tool you’re going to want to use to take advantage of this what it does you can sort by state you can sort by Sportsbook just extremely customizable however you want to use it what you’ll do from there you can go and look at our market-based

Approach find plus EV bets across Sports not just college basketball NBA NHL props whatever you want to attack and everything’s included in one package which includes our Discord all our experts use this tool and we know notify you of what we’re looking at giving you the analysis as well 14.95 for a week

49.95 for a month no long-term commitments I use this find it very helpful and I think you will too all right this game Idaho Portland State we’re not exactly among the best teams here definitely the greasy category but first thing I want to start with towards an under 141 is Pace Idaho plays

Extremely slow and they should have success slowing this Tempo the tempo of Portland State is 90th bolder these teams have been fairly consistent in their tempos so I’m not really too worried about one team slowing the other one down outside of what we already talked about with Idaho really playing

That bottom 50 Tempo but from there neither team is good on offense we’re talking 279 to 301 when you look at recent play that has not gotten any better both teams have been consistently bad and then you do actually have one pretty decent defensive team in Portland

State they’re 173 that contends with the better offense in Idaho whereas the defense Idaho has been suspect but you have a opposing offense outside the top 300 as far as some of the other stuff for these two teams you do really match up strength on strength in terms of

Defense versus opposing offense for reference Idaho’s best path to scoring is on the inside where they’re 189th they do hold a height Advantage but Portland State’s best defensive category is their interior defense where they’re 183 neither of these team shoots the three well we’re talking 320th and 289

So I’m not really really worried about anyone getting hot from Beyond The Arc and from there rebounding is pretty close between these two teams you actually have the smaller team in Portland State better on the glass but that’s largely just because they prioritize the defensive end they’re 335th in offensive rebounding they never

Try for that either team really turns the ball over so I think you’re looking at extended possessions in the half court slowing this game as well and at 141 this is one I think we can start looking towards an under right away shorter video today will be back

Tomorrow with a major slate so make sure to check that out they’ll get busier to busier Conference tournament start if you have any questions leave a comment or reach out on Twitter _ gesi DMS are open and happy to answer anything you might want to ask until then good luck

We’ll see you next time

College Basketball Bets Monday March 4 NCAAB Picks & Predictions Today

Matt Gajewski gives his best CBB NCAA bets, picks and predictions for 3/4/24.

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College Basketball Picks & Predictions Today

00:00 Best NCAAB Picks & CBB Predictions
1:11 Duke vs NC State
4:23 Texas vs Baylor
6:51 Idaho vs Portland State

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