College Basketball Bets Tuesday March 5 Picks & Predictions | The Sauce Network | Kyle Kirms

College Basketball Bets Tuesday March 5 Picks & Predictions | The Sauce Network | Kyle Kirms

Yo what’s up welcome back to another episode of the SWS uh as always college basketball Tuesday going to go through four or five games in this video whatever I don’t get to uh we will talk about tomorrow on the live show 300 p.m. eastern time NBA show will be at 400

P.m. eastern time uh if you’re able to make it would love to see in the comments so yeah Tuesday is always a great college basketball day let’s get into it welcome to the SW this SE hey get this sew first up we’ll start in the Big 10 and we got a banger here Purdue on the road at Illinois lion Lane one and a half or one depending on your sports book Total sitting at 1645 betting Trends on the Purdue side uh

Just four and five against the number on the road this year just 8 and 10 against the spread in Big 10 play just one and four against the spread in their last five so not the best looking Trends here for Purdue on the Illinois side uh 78-2

Against a spread at home this year 107 And1 against a spread in Big 10 play three and2 against the spread in their last five recent production from these two teams you can see both these teams been winning a lot of games uh Purdue 9

And1 in their last 10 3- one on the road in that span Illinois 8-2 in their last 10 a perfect 5-0 at home in that span uh strength of schedule Edge does go to Illinois though 96 for Purdue in the last 10 compared to 74th for illino so

Let’s match these two teams up on the court we’ll start with Purdue’s offense against Illinois’s defense uh and the edge goes to Purdue on this side and it’s really not even close you can see here all the major stat categories EFG orb turnover raate I mean all goes to

Purdue pretty significantly the strength of the Illinois defense has been rebounding they’re not going to have the rebounding Edge against Purdue and to take it a step further we’ll pull up some shot zones on this side I mean look at Illinois defensive numbers down at The Rim here just 284th in defensive

Efficiency at the Basket in the last 10 not that Purdue frequence the rim just 264th in frequency but 22nd in efficiency so Purdue should definitely score down here uh and plus Purdue’s been hitting their threes as well look at the above the break three numbers just 2403 in efficiency so they don’t

Take a ton of them but fifth in efficiency so they’ve been very efficient shooting the three ball Illinois defensively against the above the break three 324th but before we go rushing to the window to place our Purdue bets we got to look at the matchup on the other side

And yeah goes to Illinois offense and again it’s not close so both offenses have significant mismatches here I can see EFG rebounding actually goes to Illinois on this side 40th to 56th turnover is 23rd to 350th so as all the flowers we just gave to Purdue offense

In this matchup we got to give some back to Illinois here on the other side shot zones on this side really come down to the matchup on the interior uh look at Illinois’s offensive efficiency here 40th at The Rim in the last 10 52nd in the paint so they’ve been very efficient

Scoring down low uh puru at The Rim 280th in efficiency but they’re 11th in frequency so they really Pride themselves on not letting you get to the basket uh but if you’re able to get there you’re going to score Purdue in the paint 53rd in defensive efficiency

So kind of tough to handicap there cuz Purdue can definitely defend down low um but I’d say still in the last 10 games using these numbers Illinois is going to score here the fact that this game’s being played at Illinois is huge you can see Purdue all their rankings worse on

The road actually the rebounding is first on the road third at home so their Elite rebounding team home or away uh but look at EFG defensive vfg they both significantly worse on the road on the Illinois side offensively actually their rank is lower at home but look at the

Defensive numbers 25th at home 181st on the road and they’re a good rebounding team themselves seventh at home which is why I got to go with the Eli here I mean I don’t absolutely love this one scoople Illinois also Andy also likes Illinois uh so I’m going to side with those guys

Give me the ali9 minus one next game Syracuse on the road at Clemson Clemson laying nine points at home the total sit at 153 betting Trends on the Q side uh just 4 and six against the spread on the road this year 8- 11 against a spread in

Conference play 3-2 against the number in their last five overall on the Clemson side 7 seven And1 against the spread at home this year 98- one against the spread in conference play also there are 3-2 against the spread in their last five recent production from these two teams definitely points towards Clemson

Uh Clemson has a better record in the last 10 7 and3 versus 6 and4 and they’ played a stronger schedule strength of schedule in the last 10 games 84th to 133rd for Syracuse uh Syracuse 2 and three in their last five on the road Clemson 4-2 at home in that span before

We get into this one we need to mention that these two teams already played kind of recently too it was back on February 10th Clemson won 77 to 68 that was on the road in Syracuse so they won by nine on February 10th at Syracuse so let’s

Match these two teams up on the court we’ll start with Syracuse offense uh I give the a slight Edge to Clemson’s defense based on these numbers but it’s not overwhelming I mean EFG 28 to6 so slight Edge to Clemson rebounding huge Edge Clemson’s defense here 143 to 360

Turnover numbers kind of even that out though Clemson’s probably not going to be able to force any turnovers in the game uh really not much to go by here we can take a look at the mid-range shooting numbers for Syracuse because that’s a huge part of the Syracuse

Offense and they have solid efficient shooting numbers from the mid-range problem is Clemson’s defensive numbers against those two zones the short midrange and the long mid-range they’re really not that bad 79th and 160th so really not much to go by here now we flip things around and look at the match

Up for Clemson’s offense and this is where we give the definite Edge to Clemson uh Syracuse may be able to create some turnovers here 16th to 117th in the last 10 but the other two categories well specifically look at efficient field goal percentage 359th to 108th in favor of Clemson and shot zones

For Clemson’s offense I mean look no further than the above the break three-point shot 34.6% of Clemson shot attempts in the last 10 games have been above the break threes 36 in frequency from that zone look at Syracuse defensive efficiency against that shot in the last 10

359th so the three ball is going to be there for Clemson in this one home away splits for Syracuse really not much here uh offensively they’re kind of the same rebounding they’re pretty awful in both in both home and away uh but look at the defensive EFG numbers two 315th at home

250th on the road so the defense has actually been slightly better on the road now we switch it over to Clemson this has been a road team man look at their rankings here 113th at home to 19th on the road defense also significantly better ranking on the road

Rebounding slightly better at home but Clemson’s been a great Road team this year which is why I’m going with the orange on this one this Clemson team I’ve Loved betting him on the road but I’ve been fading him at home uh Syracuse is playing good basketball right now

Four wins in a row including two wins on the road I’m rolling with Syracuse here give me the nine points Syracuse plus n next game SEC up next Alabama on the road in Florida Gator catching a point at home I actually see a gator minus one

So this is probably going to be a pick them by the time you’re watching this total sitting at 177 betting Trends on the Alabama side 5- four against a spread on the road this year 10- six against a spread in conference Play 2 and three against a spread in their last

Five on the Florida side 6 and8 against a spread at home this year 8- eight against a spread in conference play also they’re two and three against the spread in their last five just like Alabama recent production from these two teams uh they’re both 7-3 in their last 10 and

Florida’s a perfect 5-0 at Home Alabama just 3-2 on the road in that span but look at the strength of schedule 50 second for Florida in the last 10 Alabama’s sixth so Alabama played a significantly stronger schedule recently so let’s match these two teams up on the court and we’ll start with Alabama’s

Offense uh huge Edge to the tide on this side EFG offensive rebound rate turnover rate all significant Advantage for Alabama’s offense and these are numbers from the last 10 we just covered Alabama’s sixth in strength of schedule Florida back at 52nd or whatever it was so so not only does Alabama’s offense

Have the edge based on these numbers but they also should be skewed in favor of Florida but here’s the thing when we take a look at shot zones on this side actually I can find some value for Florida uh Alabama’s offense there’s two shot zones that they frequent the rim

And the above the break three we’ll start with the rim here Alabama 48th in frequency 99th in efficiency they’ve been very good scoring down low at the basket Florida’s 129th and defensive efficiency down there this Florida defense hasn’t been good but they’ve done a decent job protecting the basket

And look at the above the break three numbers Alabama 41st in frequency 104th in efficiency Florida 137th in defensive efficiency out there so the two zones that Alabama frequently takes shots from happen to be two of the stronger zones for Florida defensively on the other side of the Court we got the gator

Offense and definitely got to give the edge to Florida on this side um just like Alabama on the other side Florida has the edge in all the major categories here uh efgs is actually somewhat closed though 2112 to 126 keep in mind these are numbers from the last 10 games and I

Keep mentioning strength of schedule huge in favor of Alabama shot zones for Florida’s offense kind of tough because Florida’s offense is pretty balanced they can score from everywhere uh we can pull up the mid-range shooting numbers because that happens to be the weakest zone for Alabama 309th in efficiency

From there uh Florida 155th in frequency 81st in efficiency but the thing is that doesn’t really account for a large number of Florida shot attacks so really not much here as far as shot zones Florida can score from everywhere home away splits for Alabama uh you can see

The offense is not an issue actually they’re seventh in EFG on the road their offense has actually been better on the road but look at the defense 36th at home 303d on the road so that’s a concern and we flip it over to the Florida side significantly better at

Home so homeway splits are a situation here for Alabama which makes betting this game really difficult because I think we all agree Alabama is the better team here but on the road against a Florida team who’s coming off an ugly loss to South Carolina they blew a lead

Seems like a really good spot for Florida I I guess I got to go with the Gators but I was hoping to get like three and a half here the fact that it’s basically a pick them makes this one really hard I’ll say Florida a pass kind

Of want to see what everyone else says on the live show tomorrow 3 p.m. but I’m leaning towards the gator here next game Kansas State on the road in Kansas Jayhawks laying 10 points at home at 144 betting Trends on the Kansas State Side 5-2 against the spread as Road dogs this

Year 9- s against the spread in Big 12 Play 3-2 against the spread in their last five on the Kansas side 7 seven and one against a spread at home this year s and n against a spread in Big 12 play two and three against the number in their last five overall recent

Production from these two teams definitely points towards Kansas here uh in the last 10 games Kansas is 5-5 4-1 at home in the last 10 for Kansas State just 3-7 an 0 and five they lost five Road games in a row and look at the strength of schedule Kansas first first

In the country of strength of schedule in the last 10 games Kansas State back at 10 I mean Kansas State’s played a an extremely difficult schedule also but Kansas is first before we get into this one we need to mention that these two teams already played it was an awesome

Game uh final score was 7570 Kansas State won that game I was on Kansas State in that one too they had Kansas State plus four plus 5 and a half I think it was uh went into overtime 7570 Kansas State beat him so let’s match these two teams up on the court and

We’ll start with Kansas State’s offense uh Advantage Kansas defense I mean The Jayhawks have the edge in every single major category here uh EFG offensive rebounding rate turnover rate all Advantage Kansas shot zones for Kansas State’s offense I mean not really much here not going to be much for Kansas

State on the interior uh you can see Kansas has done a good job down there 28th in frequency at The Rim they don’t let people down there to score at the basket uh 75th in the paint so they’ve even done done a good job against those

Short mid-range shots uh this is this is going to be tough for Kansas State to go on the road and score here on the other side of the Court though the Kansas offense against the Kansas State Defense you could definitely find some angles for Kansas State here uh look at the EFG

Numbers in the last 10 41st to 20th now I mean after that there’s not many redeeming qualities for Kansas State but official field goal percentage is the most important stat and get this look at the shot zones here Kansas attacks the basket a lot in the last 10 games 46 and

Frequency at The Rim 37th in efficiency so this team attacks the rim and they’re good at it Kansas State defensively in the last 10 at the basket 8 second in efficiency so they’ve actually done a decent job protecting the rim home away splits for Kansas State not bad at all

In fact Kansas State’s got better ranks on the road especially in the rebounding Department 126 at home 53rd on the road other numbers I mean pretty even you can probably argue K they been a better team to bet on the road on the Kansas side though EFG better at home defensive EFG

Better at home rebounding percentage better at home so the fact that this game’s being played at Kansas is huge for The Jayhawks as far as betting this game I mean based on the numbers that I’m looking at there’s no way you can lay 10 points with Kansas here that

Being said the spot I mean Kansas at home there’s a Revenge factor I I really could see a path to Kansas just beating the doors off of Kansas State but the numbers there’s no way you can make 10 points based on just production on the

Court so I’ll say Kansas State + 10 but spot wise Kansas minus 10 would probably be the move but I’ll follow the numbers here give me Kansas State plus 10 like I said earlier live shows we got 3 p.m. college basketball we’ll go through a bunch of different games I’ll have some

Guests on same thing I always do that’s at 3: p.m. eastern time 400 p.m. eastern time is the NBA live show I got uh guy Boston Boston uh guy Boston Sports is coming on tomorrow so that should be a good one if you’re able to make it with

Love to see in the comments if you want my top bets for All Sports parlays of the day or you’d like to join our Discord head over to cms.com the information is right there on the homepage Tuesday’s always a great college basketball day we got some NBA

Action on as well a lot of basketball on remember to bet responsibly and I’ll talk to you in Discord

College Basketball Bets Tuesday March 5 Picks & Predictions | The Sauce Network | Kyle Kirms

Kyle Kirms, host of the Sauce Network, breaks down the CBB NCAA matchups for MARCH 5TH

Visit the website to see the final bet tickets for every sport as well as bet tracking and money tracking analytics.
https://www.kylekirms.com/

DUQUESNE @ VCU (VCU -5.5)
PURDUE @ ILLINOIS (ILL -2)
NOTRE DAME @ NORTH CAROLINA (UNC -15)
PROVIDENCE @ GEORGETOWN (GTWN +8)
SYRACUSE @ CLEMSON (CLEM -9.5)
OLE MISS @ GEORGIA (UGA -2.5)
ALABAMA @ FLORIDA (UF -1.5)
CINCINNATI @ OKLAHOMA (OU -5.5)
ST. JOHN’S @ DEPAUL (DEP +19.5)
KANSAS STATE @ KANSAS (KU -10.5)

#cbbpicks #collegebasketball #sportsbetting