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[A.I.] with detailed analytics what Lakers record might’ve been had Rui Hachimura started over Taurean Prince since beginning of the Season (Answer: 41-22 aka 4th in West)



[A.I.] with detailed analytics what Lakers record might’ve been had Rui Hachimura started over Taurean Prince since beginning of the Season (Answer: 41-22 aka 4th in West)

by JanuaryCarl

22 Comments

  1. JanuaryCarl

    Here’s a text version:

    It’s impossible to definitively say what the Lakers’ record would be if Rui Hachimura had started in place of Taurean Prince all season. Predicting the outcome of games with hypothetical scenarios is inherently complex and unreliable due to the multitude of factors influencing each game’s result.

    However, we can analyze some aspects that might have changed with Hachimura starting:

    Offensive production: Hachimura has shown a higher scoring potential than Prince this season, averaging 12.9 points per game compared to Prince’s 5.4 points. This scoring boost could have potentially led to more wins for the Lakers.

    Spacing and shooting: Hachimura is a more consistent three-point shooter than Prince, potentially improving the spacing and offensive flow for the Lakers, especially alongside LeBron James and Anthony Davis.

    Defense: While both players offer defensive versatility, Hachimura might provide better rim protection and rebounding due to his size and athleticism.

    Assumptions:

    Hachimura’s impact: We assume Hachimura’s offensive contributions (scoring, spacing) outweigh any potential defensive shortcomings compared to Prince.

    Linear impact: We assume Hachimura’s presence translates to a consistent win/loss impact throughout the season. This is an oversimplification, but allows for an estimate.

    No change in playing time: We assume both Hachimura and Prince would play similar minutes regardless of starting status.

    Methodology:

    Identify close games: We analyze games where the Lakers lost by less than 7 points, which could have potentially been influenced by an additional scoring/spacing benefit from Hachimura.

    Estimate impact: We consider the average point differential in those close losses and estimate Hachimura could potentially swing the outcome in favor of the Lakers in some of those games.

    Adjust the record: We add potential wins from close losses to the current Lakers record (34-29 as of March 6, 2024).

    Analysis:

    Close games: As of March 6, 2024, the Lakers have lost 15 games by a margin of 6 points or less.

    Potential impact: Assuming Hachimura’s offensive contribution could have impacted some of these close games, we cannot guarantee all would have turned into wins. However, considering his scoring ability and potential spacing impact, we might estimate a portion of these close losses could have been victories with him starting.

    Estimation: While it’s impossible to determine the exact number, a cautious estimate could be that Hachimura’s presence might have swung the outcome in some of these close games, potentially leading to 7 additional wins.

    Therefore, the Lakers’ hypothetical record would be 41-22.

    It’s important to remember that this is just a hypothetical scenario, and the actual outcome of games can be influenced by many factors beyond our control.

  2. maestroxjay

    This might be the one job I’m ok with AI taking

  3. Jumpy_Novel456

    Fire Ham. Give AI a 4-year deal, no salary needed coz it’s free too! Do it Jeanie!

  4. thesonicvision

    Here’s the problem with AI chatbots: they’re not actually calculating/discovering the “truth” via reasoning and analysis.

    Instead, they are just mimicking the appearance of a reasonable response in tone, structure, and style of argument.

    If I gave that same chatbot a prompt that suggested– directly or subtly– that the Lakers would be better if Prince always started over Rui, it would show me what I want to see.

    Furthermore, you can’t trust any numbers from a chatbot. They often provide false or contradictory info. (Example: ask it to provide all the wins/losses in the conference finals and beyond for 10 specific players).

  5. senshi_of_love

    This team would be really really good without Ham ruining everything.

  6. So Lakers could’ve been guaranteed at least home court in the first round and even a decent shot at the best record in the West had Darvin played last season’s playoff lineup to start THIS season? 

     Son of a Ham 🤬

  7. Medium-Antelope2926

    Ham is not a great coach but the blame on him is way over the line

    The Lakers just blew out the Thunder because they PLAYED HARD

    The truth is LeBron gets very lazy too often and when the leader gets lazy the rest of the team follows suit.

    If LeBron starts playing harder and becomes a true leader then the Lakers can win a lot of games. Supposedly LeBron overrules Ham a lot anyways so if thats true then why are they even losing?? Clearly LeBron can be like Peyton Manning and call audibles so then he should step up and do that and help the team win.

  8. TorontoRaptors34

    The reason why I hate Rui otb mostly is also cuz of Ham hell barely get the rock and be used as an after thought.

  9. Musa_2050

    That is a pretty big assumption. Keep in mind Rui was injured for a bit, and we also had ups and downs from Reaves.

  10. outsidehere

    There’s a layer of variables that can be applied this to say that it’s wrong. However the WCF starting 5 would have gotten us to at least the 6th seed

  11. Great-Bus4398

    It took me 10 seconds to realize Taurean Prince’s ppg is entirely wrong which completely invalidates the response.

  12. If our record was 41-22 by now, I would be cocky asf. Glad that basketball gods made me humble

  13. Ghostbeen3

    This is so dumb. There’s absolutely no way to predict wins or losses. I think we can all agree that rui is a much better player than prince, but that sentiment cannot be translated into wins. Each game and even even every second of each game, has way too many variables to calculate any sort of accuracy. That being said, Darvin ham is an idiot and his rotations can be infuriating.

  14. Vegasguy3124

    Whenever I see the word *hypothetical* — I automatically assume it’s legit

  15. runninthruthe818

    AI is dogshit but I’m pretty certain that someone could pull out a similar argument with the statistics at our disposal. It’s not hard for this to pass the eye test if you’ve been watching the same games the rest of us have.

    Rui definitely provides more scoring punch and while he gets lost on defense at times and his rebounding is suspect; Prince playing 35 minutes a game was a complete zero in both of those facets of the game.

    7 games may be a bit much but I can probably name at least 5 games we likely would have pulled out had Rui played more minutes. Especially those games early on when Austin/Dlo were struggling to find a rhythm because of our dumbass coach.

  16. Last0neStandin

    I’m a big Rui fan but this is mental masterbation… please continue

  17. CountNo9484

    The fact y’all are using hypotheticals is sad LOL

  18. MychalScarn08

    People in here defending Prince are insane lmao. This was obviously purely hypothetical and for fun. I think we can all agree Lakers would have won at least 1 more game if Rui was starting over Prince.

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