Can OG Anunoby & New York Knicks Earn Top Seed in Eastern Conference? NBA Picks | Green Dot Daily
People He Look Welcome to green. daily I’m Maria Marino we’re live every weekday at 3 Eastern on the action app and YouTube Channel Please Subscribe by the way if you haven’t yet coming up we’ll get you Sean Ker’s player props J Money NBA best bet plus golf picks from Spencer agar for
The Players Championship but first some news in the NFL reportedly the Ravens are signing four-time pro bowler Derek Henry to a two-year $16 million contract he spent the last eight seasons of course in Tennessee he actually was second in the league in rushing yards last year the Ravens are plus 460 to win
The AFC second shortest odds behind the Chiefs they have the third best odds at plus 900 to win the Super Bowl behind the 49ers and Chiefs now let’s get to college hoops the West Coast Conference Championship is tonight between number 17 Gonzaga and number 21 St Mary’s money has poured in
On the zags who opened as one and a half Point favorites and just took down the gals by 13 on the road a week ago also no surprise the under has taken 98% of the Handle With both matchups this season ending below 130 points and per bet Labs unders in championship games
Have hit at a 57% clip since 2005 with that our director of Predictive Analytics Sean kerer is joining us now I know the entire Discord Community is very excited and you have some props for this WCC Tournament final as the Derrick Henry news was breaking very exciting stuff I was grinding projections for this game so I
Have a couple props for this game uh the first one is uh Ryan NIMH hard F Gonzaga uh to go under 13 a half points um he’s average 13.8 points per game in conference play so this might seem like a good starting point win setting as prop uh however Gonzaga averaged 87
Points a game in conference play but they only have a team total of 71 tonight so 16 lower than their average in conference play which makes total sense I mean St Mary’s plays one of the slowest Paces in the country and they’re a top 20 defense so I don’t expect
Gonzaga to put up as many points tonight it’s also the West Coast Conference Championship game so it’s going to be even more of a grind for n hard uh to put up points um he did manage to score 20 on them 10 days ago uh but he shot
Way above expectation it would be really hard for him to duplicate that here um so I’m projecting his median closer to 12 points with about a 62% chance he stays under this of 13 and a half yeah his average on the season being 12.9 points per game and then you
Factor in what you discussed in terms of the defense and this also goes along with the under Trend that we were just discussing but what else do you like yeah so sticking with that same game um I’m sticking with Old Reliable here no Nolan Hickman of Gonzaga under two and a
Half rebounds uh this is a team Predictive Analytics favorite prop as you know Nick and I have frequently attacked Hickman’s under two and a half rebound prop multiple times this year uh he’s stayed under it 59% of the time in conference play uh however this is arguably the toughest matchup possible
For him to clear this um you know St Mary’s ranks first in our overall team rebound ranking uh that factors in you know strength of schedule things like that so they’re the best rebounding team in the nation so not only will it be tough for Hickman to grab you know
Potential rebounds there just probably won’t be as many to go around because like I mentioned St Mary’s plays at such a slower pace so there’s going to be fewer possessions overall um you know we got a bit unlucky with Hickman under last night so I don’t think he’s going
To get lucky two nights in a row uh and he’s he’s only he only has one total Rebound in the previous two meetings against St Mary so he might have to play two to three games tonight uh to clear this number of two and a half so love
The under here projecting closer to two rebounds exactly with about a 65% chance to stay under two and a half boards here interesting and he averages 2.3 on the season and you said it you were you know busy cooking up these props for us and not paying attention to
NFL news which I totally get this time of year um and so I know you’re even more excited to also have the neck final tonight yeah so you know Joe Mixon going to the Texans Z Moss to the Bengals I mean it’s exciting stuff but we’re we’re
Here to make some money so yeah I was grinding this Wagner marac championship game tonight uh can’t wait for this but I’m going with a rebound prop here Keon Lewis of Wagner um to go over five and a half rebounds um you know I had mentioned St Mary’s ranks first in our
Overall team rebound rank uh marac ranks as the second worst rebounding team in the entire country uh they have one of the lowest offensive rebound rates in the country and also allow just a ton of offensive boards um and marac is a very good defensive team and wack is an awful
Shooting team so Lewis who has a top 60 offensive rebound rate in the country could rack up just a ton of offensive boards tonight you know that they’ll probably missing a few more Shots tonight than normal um and he’s going to be even more likely to scoop up those
Offensive boards um so and he’ll be cleaning up on the defensive end as well uh the only real risk here is he does tend to get in foul trouble fairly often which can you know limit his upside in terms of minutes and boards but I think
He’s less likely do so here because Mar ma they they shoot a ton of Threes um he’s not going to be guarding them on the outside he’s their Center um and the two centers that Lewis will likely be guarding for most of the game Draw fouls
At a very low rate so I think his chances of getting in foul trouble tonight are considerably lower which means he could play 28 maybe possibly 30 plus minutes tonight so I love his upside here we’re projecting him closer to six snap boards with a 63% chance to
Go over 5 and a half but um there’s some markets out there where you can take him uh to get 10 or more rebounds at plus 950 I like sprinkling on that as well since we’re projecting that closer to plus 700 like I said you know he could
Play Max minutes tonight he could see a ton of offensive boards you know situation where he misses you know three Street layups and gets his own rebound kind of situation so could rack up a ton of boards tonight so I like his upside enough to to Lad it and take these alt
Props as well did pull down nine rebounds in the last game against Central Connecticut state very impressive that game tips at 7 Eastern we’re all going to be clamoring now to watch it yes thanks to you Sean and by the way I just have to say three and 0 actually three and 0
Last week on our show on gdd undefeated since National toast day with your PS I haven’t bet much but that is that is a factual stat I’m undefeated since National toast day so yeah and from what I could tell today’s not toast day so let’s go three and0 again yes and if you
Want to know just how many days that streak is just Google when National toast day was wasn’t that long ago I think it’s every Leap Year too so hopefully it doesn’t happen for another three years no never again we we ignore that holiday from here on out on GB but
Sean ker thanks as always for your Insight all right thanks for having me and enjoy the Wagner marac game we’ll do if you’ve ever wanted to try the best version of the action app that time is now because we’re running a special offer on Action Pro to celebrate the
Start of the NCAA tournament you can try pro access for just $9.99 for the first month with Action Pro you get our biggest betting model edges real time money percentages datadriven systems NCAA tournament player prop projections from the Predictive Analytics team of Sean Kerner and Nick gfin and so much
More just visit action network.com mess to take advantage before this deal expires that’s action network.com Madness to the NBA after the 76ers and Knicks combined for the lowest point total since 2016 the final score 7973 in favor of the Sixers their total going into tonight’s rematch has dropped
Considerably from 215 to 208 and a half despite New York’s OG anobi and Philly’s Tyrese Maxi being expected to return turn as we say hello to J Money and it’s been a long awaited return for OG he’s been out for about six weeks so just
Remind us all what kind of impact he has on this Knicks team yeah so if you guys remember when he was traded from the Raptors um the the Nicks had started off smoking hot man they have a 12-2 record with ogan anobi they had the number one defensive
Rated in the NBA as well with him in the lineup he just kind of totally the Knicks already had a great defense but he came in there and really changed him around he’s guarding the best player uh he has size length um he’s and he can
Guard one through five as well so he can even you can even put him at the center as well so he had missed 18 games Maria the Knicks had really kind of dropped down um their rord was only eight and 10 obviously they’re still missing Julius renle and Mitchell Robinson as well but
Um I think that they couldn’t wait to get oan noi back definitely I think we all can’t wait it’s so exciting when he’s active and playing for them their scoring offense I noticed has dropped to 23rd in the league comparable to San Antonio and
Detroit so they need him in a big way as well as some of their other players but they lost the last meeting with the 76ers it was ugly maxi was out how are you betting tonight’s game at MSG yeah that was a crazy game I’m
Talking about 79 to 73 man takes me back to some 90s style basketball I like defense but know about that much defense there but there was a little bit of a early start it was just like a wonky game they put Kelly U on on Brunson they weren’t really expecting that but this
Is the bounceback J spot here this is the Revenge game JP spot here obviously after losing on that kind of mad game on Sunday they know what the Sixers are going to throw at them now the Sixers do get Maxi back here tonight but um it could throw the team’s chemistry off a
Little bit when you have a guy that comes back with the ball in his hands that much there’s less Touches for all the role players as well and sometimes uh with maxi out for four games you can kind of get into a whole different type
Of GrooVe um with the with the rest of the guys so he might throw things off Maxi loves to loves to shoot the ball a ton and I’m expecting OG to come back as well which turns the ne Nicks defense up a few notches uh in my opinion and I
Mean they could put him on Maxi they can put him at the five which the Sixers are still kind of low in depth at the uh at the five position as well here so um I think the Knick’s bounce back strong here tonight I like the way this line
Has went it opened up at 4 and A2 uh it’s touching six now and I like the way that is going I think the Nicks win this game by double digits in the bounceback J spot I think we were all a little slow on Sunday we had daylight savings and
Whatnot um but what I like about this for a bounceback you may have seen what Josh Hart said um he said he’s still stuck on Sunday’s loss didn’t sit well with him I know you always look for little nuggets like that and what these players tell the media but we know
Julius Randall actually we don’t know it’s still unclear what what’s going to happen with Julius Randall when he’s going to come back but if he gets back healthy they have OG back how far do you think the Knicks can actually go uh come playoff time yeah I think they can be a
Top three seed in the in circumference and possibly even move up to the number two seed in my opinion it all starts with their defense this is one of the most uh one of the most intriguing defensive teams in the league especially with enobi coming back as well like I
Say he can guard one through five and we can’t forget about Mitchell Robinson as well I think Mitchell Robinson is a little bit more important to the Knicks than Julius Randle is um I mean I’ve kind of been maybe pushing for them to to trade Randall for a few years now
Maria I know he’s a great player a great scorer but sometimes his attitude really kind of uh shows out there on the court but we can’t forget about Mitchell Robinson he could possibly come back by the end of the season as well maybe in the playoffs um as well so I think that
They really have a high ceiling and could possibly be the second or or third best team in the Eastern Conference um but they’re still behind the Celtics yeah I mean that’s for sure it’s just such a shame because with all these players healthy you could see the
Potential just got to get them back on the floor but the Knicks have managed to stay in the four seed they’re only a game and a half ahead of the Pacers however and they are the first playing team in that seven spot but Jay good luck tonight thanks for joining the show
Thank you anytime Aria go Nicks hey everybody it’s Joe deera and I’ve got a couple of my favorite plays for this Tuesday NBA slate I’m looking at dearon Fox over 272 points today against the Milwaukee Bucks the Bucks defense has definitely improved a bit under Doc Rivers but they’ve had some
Difficulty handling lead guards and recently they’ve given up big games to DLo Steph Curry James Harden and Anthony Edwards over the last couple of weeks and when these teams played earlier this season Fox scored 32 points on 12 of 26 shooting fox has exceeded this 272
Points line in 53% of games this season and in six of his last 10 he’s coming off of a poor 18-point performance against the rockets and I think this is a matchup that he can exploit in a little bit of a by low spot so I like
Dearon Fox to go over 27 A2 points finally we’re looking at Shay gilis Alexander under 6 and a half assists against the Indiana Pacers I know any Shay under is always a little bit scary but on the season he’s averaging 6.4 assists on 12.2 potentials it’s been
Under in 56% of games this season and the biggest thing is stylistically this Indiana defense just does not give up assists they surrender the sixth fewest assists per game and that’s despite playing at a relatively fast pace and this should be a pretty fast-paced game
But at the end of the day the thing that Indiana does defensively is they really keep you off the three-point line and part of that’s because it’s easy to blow past them uh They Don’t Really send doubles they’re not sending help and they’re basically playing everybody straight up one-on-one and that sets up
A better situation for Shay to score um and I expect him to score fine but I also think that it’s going to limit his assist opportunities as he would potentially drive and kick out to the corner out to the three-point line I think that that’s just significantly less likely with Indiana allowing some
Of the fewest amount of catch and shoot opportunities so I like Shay to go under 6 and a half assists best of luck on your Wagers today and enjoy the rest of your Tuesdays I did decide to start my card with Scotty shuffler at 7 to one he
Broke my model in so many ways this week graded first for weighted TAA green first for strokes gain total on long rough Strokes gain total in the win you talked about that potential for the win to impact this a little bit later in the week this course is going to probably
Bake out and speed up there first for ball striking weighted proximity like it’s all the things that you want to find of a golfer that now all of a sudden we put him at a course where you know if he can be neutral with the putter I think this is the sort of
Tournament where he can win because of the harder scoring condition so you heard it first from Spencer aiar on the links and locks podcast Spencer congrats on hitting your pick for Scotty sheffler to win outright at the Arnold Palmer Invitational Now we move on to an
Event that Sheffer won a year ago which is the Players Championship we’re g to start though with your best bet for the tournament you know Maria the last time I came on this show my best bet was chessen Hadley over Matt coocher at the cognizant classic I will preface this
Comment with fact that the BET was a winner but apparently my appearances with you have turned into Hadley over someone every single tournament even though my entire purpose of a head-to-head wager is to find a fade candidate to oppose I’m going to go with chest Hadley this week over Vincent
Norman at minus 115 Norman presented this extremely Boomer B bus profile inside of my model of a golfer who’s been excelling with some of his critical ball striking metrics but even when you look at that he’s failed to get much out of those results he hasn’t posted a top
35 finish s his win at the barbasol in July and while the off the and and green and regulation metrics are going to present this intriguing profile to consider he he has really failed to put the pieces together with that like unless he brings his aame the she
Downside of this short game and weighted proximity made him one of the better fade candidates to consider uh throughout the entire market Norman ranked 140th from the critical range that I ran this week from Z to 150 yards with his irons 104th overall with his approach game game and he landed 133rd
And expected scrambling for this volatile TPC track it just so happens Maria that Hadley keeps getting matched against these fade worthy worthy opponents that I have probably because the general lack of upside that markets and books seem to think he possesses but there’s something to be said about
Hadley getting the best of Norman during all four events this year he’s gotten the best of him in the past eight if we stretch this back to July of 2023 I gave the same answer a few weeks ago when we took Hadley over coocher but it’s a weird and inconsistent profile
From Hadley that ends up Landing as a value against Norman here just because I think Norman’s downside in his floor here is probably honestly the bottom of one of these TPC Saw Grass Lakes hey your model shows what it shows Hadley again will take it and as mentioned you’ve hit a couple outright
Winners at this point already in the early goings of the Season who’s going to be your pick for this week yeah we’ll try to make it three on the season I I kind of talked about it a little bit during the the best bet portion TPC Saw Grass is this extremely volatile course
It’s one of the most extremely volatile courses on the PJ tour 17 holes possess water you have 88 bunkers that are designed to cause Havoc at every single turn that answer is interesting since there are events like last week if you look at the Arnold Palmer a name like
Scotty sheffler became my bet at 7 to one just because of that increased Edge that he could find with his ball striking returns there’s some semblance of that explanation that comes in to play again when you look at all the water that’s in play however when you
Look at the past course history of every single golfer in this field including schuer who has failed to crack the top 50 before his victory last season I think it’s too big of a boomer bust return out of all these players to really want to jump to the top of the
Board so I gave four names you can find that in links and locks this week where I talk about all of them I’m going to give one out here it’s going to be Max H at 30 to1 I grabbed this at 33 to one on Monday H has essentially been this
Sinking ship with the price over the past 24 hours you look at this backtack top 16 finishes on tour that he’s presented you have two top 13 results here over the past two seasons that’s going to show some of the safety and upside merged into one answer for this
Chaotic venue but I think the biggest takeaway that I could find for him stem from the long-term data that I found at sass so when I ran my model one of the biggest Cory expectations for success and I think is not something that a lot of people are talking about is when you
Combine weighted proximity from under 150 yards and projected scrambling that was a metric that saw sheffler rank number one last year when he won the title the same came into play for Justin Thomas in 2021 when he took down the trophy it’s going to take more than just
That combination to get across the finish line so when you look at that fact and you look at hom ranking number one in my model this week in that area I think that propels his upside potential in Florida and there is really a reason Maria why this price has been on the
Move so uh be sure to shop around always find the best number that you can out there in the space but I will go with Max hom for this show to try to get a victory here yes try to keep it rolling Spencer good luck this weekend and thanks for
Stopping by thank you Maria I appreciate it as always remember any picks we give out here on the show like the ones you just heard from Spencer you can easily reference by following green. daily in the action app we keep track so you don’t have to that’s all for green. daily I’m Maria
Marino the show will be back tomorrow at 3 Eastern on the Action Network YouTube channel and the action app thanks for watching Nah
On today’s Green Dot Daily, Maria Marino is joined by College Hoops expert Sean Koerner, who looks at some of the best player props from the WCC Championship game between Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s. Next, is NBA expert Jay Money as he dives into the impact of a potential OG Anunoby return for the Knicks and what this means for Knicks futures. Then, we have Joe Dellera giving out his best bets for tonight’s NBA slate. Lastly, Golf expert Spencer Aguiar joins the show to breakdown his best bets for the Players Championship tournament.
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