https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/
They essentially have grizzlies as the third best chance to win the ring. Even more so they have the heat, sixers and even the Mavs over the Warriors.
How many of these you agree with?
by yalogin
24 Comments
Bulls and pacers with the same record is so egregious
Cavaliers at 44-38 is gross too
I’m sorry but I just can’t agree that the Thunder have a 5 times better chance of making the playoffs than the Rockets. That is just too high.
I think saying from now any team is as good as 1/5 this year is a mistake.
I also think the Bucks are way low here.
Warriors last year had like a 0.1% chance of winning iirc. What I’m trying to say is the bulls are winning it all led by Alex Caruso
next year? the link is for the 2022-2023, that’s this season
Mavs win finals don’t @me
are you aware that a projection is not a take
The Jazz as a 39 win team? I would be willing to bet my balls the Pelicans win at least 4 more games than the Jazz
I don’t care about most of it, EXCEPT how tf are the Bucks like 10th most likely to win the ring lmao? That team is not the 10th best in the NBA.
I just looked at it again and they got the Raptors over the Bucks 💀. That shit must be a fake link
The disrespect to the clippers is craaaaazy
When had their projection been remotely close at all? Remember the Warriors last year? lol
i don’t buy the grizz
they need another star or some of their other guys to take a huge step forward
celtics with Ime out and tatum freezing in big moments make me doubt them
nuggets – that’s a big assumption murray is as good as he was and MPJ is improved
don’t buy 76ers being that high either. Harden isn’t that guy anymore.
Warriors are too low, their team is loaded and the younger guys seemed poised to take another leap
Mavs too high, still don’t have a legit 2nd star
Suns too high – i feel like they’re going to implode. Ayton doesn’t want to be there. CP3 is that much older now. their window closed
Cavs too low – that team is loaded , i think they get to the ECF
Pelicans too low – they’re loaded. if zion stays healthy and integrates well with the team, they have a legit chance to get to the WCF
Knicks too high, they’re trash
Rockets too low, they’ve got a good young roster, they won’t make the playoffs, but they’re too low
whats up with their celtic dick riding
they are not a bad team but holy fucking shit
Clippers 6 seed, dodged the play-in baby! playing the Mavs in the first round! Round three, let’s go!
The Hawks as the 4th best team fully healthy? I mean, sure, why not.
> Even more so they have the heat, sixers and even the Mavs over the Warriors.
All is back to normal in the world. For now
Jeez I think the Mavs are too high. Definitely agree with the 76ers though.
Why is 538 so popular?
These record projections are so conservative, the best team in the league with 57 wins? I highly doubt that.
Walwahi Bucks are finished
Obviously the overall finals predictions for this site aren’t always correct or even close, but I wonder how the individual game predictions fair if you just use their win probability per game and RAPTOR spread as your model for placing bets. I’m sure most of them won’t pan out but I wonder what kind of win percentage you can get off this model
Damn, the Celtics have a 1 out of 3 chance that they they make the Finals? That’s high as hell
I need to check Vegas o/u tons of money to be made it seems
Does this assume a 100% healthy roster? Celtics already lost Gallinari, lost their head coach, have RWIII coming off injury, have poor front court depth. I think 33% to make it to the finals is optimistic at best.