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Watch Party Tickets:
https://app.promotix.com/events/details/Uprise
NBA Uprise (NBA Channel):
https://www.youtube.com/c/NBAUprise
Blazers Uprise Live (Streaming Channel):
https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersupriselive
Twitter:
Torey Jones – https://www.twitter.com/toreyjonesyt
Eric Brandt – https://www.twitter.com/hoopsjock
Blazers Uprise – https://www.twitter.com/blazersupriseyt
Discord:
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15 Comments
I can't believe the level of negativity you both throw at Watford. What is it with you two that you dislike him so much? You make it sound like he shouldn't be on the team. You praise him for things he does well but you still consider him trash. "He only plays well on tanking teams." "He doesn't have a huge roll on this team going forward." Really? Have you bothered to look at games he started along side the starters? Jazz game, 21/9/5. Boston 10/8/8. In two games he started in Hart's place earlier in the year he was one point shy of two double doubles. I wonder why CB plays him so much. If he is that bad, someone else should be starting in his place when Grant is out, don't you think? For an undrafted player in his second season, mostly playing out of position, he is doing very well. Your tunnel vision for his shortcomings on defense is amazing considering most of the starters and bench are not that good either. He is improving in this area as CB has mentioned in his interviews. He had two awesome blocks against the Jazz the other night. You are not giving him the same chance you would other developing players. But hey, doing the negative Nancy bit is your thing. Keep up the good work.
Yo that probability talk confused me so much. I think Eric is correct but also I'm not confident. It was funny
Trendon and Keon as well as Sharpe are players that have a lot of tools that need to be worked on and developed. They may not be important now but they can definitely be if given the chance to develop they’re game. The problem is this team isn’t worried about developing young talent because we’re too busy looking for win now players which hurts the young guys development.
FO is so poor. They have no clear direction less avoiding the tax. Its becoming more and more obvious this team is headed for a rebuild. Why can OKC and San Antonio clearly take that path but this rudderless front office cant decide what to do. Reality is we really are the 5-7th worst team in the NBA when we are legitimately trying to win. Who honestly thinks Cronin is capable of making a transformational roster move this summer? I give him less than a 25% chance.
Mavs season looking real grim… imagine we asked for the Dallas pick instead of the Knicks pick without proper protections and just had a repeat of last year 😂
Former college math tutor and unofficial Torey Translator here:
Torey was right, Eric was wrong (on multiple levels) and chat was technically right but completely off-base in their understanding of the question
The team in the 6th position’s odds for each position are as follows:
1st: 9%
2nd: 9.2%
3rd: 9.4%
4th: 9.6%
6th: 8.6%
7th: 29.8%
8th: 20.6%
9th: 3.7%
10th: 0.2%
So firstly, Eric was technically wrong to suggest that we are more likely to have the 7th pick (29.8%) than a top-4 pick (9+9.2+9.4+9.6 = 37.2%). Though I believe Eric’s overall point was that we are more likely to move down (29.8+20.6+3.7+0.2 = 54.3%) than up (37.4%). So I’ll assume that’s what he meant.
Secondly, and most importantly, Torey was correct that we are more likely to land in the top 4 once than we are to not land in the top 4 both times. The odds we land in the top four once are 1 – (1-0.372)^2. This is because we take all the possible scenarios (represented by the first 1) and subtract the scenario in which, in two straight years, we don’t move up. The chance that we don’t move up in a given year is 1 minus the chance that we do move up, which is 1 – 0.372 = 0.628. We square that because this must happen twice in a row, and that represents all the scenarios in which we go two straight years without moving up. 0.628 squared is 0.394. Subtract that from 1 and you got 0.606. So if we were told before last year’s lottery that we would have the 6th odds twice in a row, there would be a 60.6% chance we move up at least once. Chat is correct because we now have seen that we lost the first one, so gamblers fallacy applies and that doesn’t make us any more likely to win this time around just because of our likelihood going in. But that wasn’t the question. The question pertained to what our odds would have been going into this, not knowing the outcome of last year’s lottery as we do now.
Hopefully that clarifies things for anybody who still cares and was confused. Torey was generous to call this a math debate, when I think a better term would be “lesson” or “clinic”. These are irrefutable facts. There is no argument to be had. You either understand them, or you don’t.
In summary: someone in chat asked what 2+2 is equal to. Torey said it’s 4. Eric said it’s 5. And some individuals in chat called Torey an idiot for not saying that 3+3 is equal to 6
I have given Chauncey and Cronin the benefit of the doubt. But the mismanagement of free agency/trade deadlines and development of Sharpe up to this point is inexcusable. We should’ve been given Sharpe 25-30 minutes after trading Hart.
Not getting Wiseman is unacceptable. Even if we do get the “splash” in free agency it doesn’t mean Cronin is getting less than a failing grade from me.
F grades for both.
Another year wasting dame's prime smdh. The same narrative every damn season. I'm not a fan of terry but he figured it out the second year he was there. Soon or later we need to do Lillard a favor and trade him to where he can compete for a ring. But hoping we get wemby or a top 4 pick to trade
😂 1:04:45
1:05:47 Torey is asking for chat suggestions for gimmicks.
I’ll start: I think you should have a Dono/member message of the stream.
Maybe it’s a good hot take,large donation, or a good comment. It would be displayed in the corner and would encourage donations and channel membership.
You could call it the Uprise Remark of the game. But it’s something that could be given in the moment as a verbal reward for a good critique. Then it could be replaced when a better one comes along.
Blazers got lucky more teams weren't tanking this year. That's the main selling point of of this entire season. Almost every opponent played harder to try and win ball games.
I'm here for the math/probability debates. Keep them coming!
YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT PROBABILITY. 3.7 TIMES OUT OF 10 IT IS PROBALBE YOU GET THE MOVE UP. LUCK MAKES THE CHOICE IN THE END.
TOMMY
1:48:32 As a math guy, Torey is right here. Just because out of the total possible outcomes (in terms of a coin flip for ease), you can get HH,HT,TH,TT. And 3/4 of the scenarios you have at least 1 Head. So while each flip is 50/50, overall it’s actually a 75% chance. Fascinating 😂👍🏽
"Just when the caterpillar thought the world was ending, he turned into a butterfly." -Proverb