So basically if the warriors or clippers win Friday/Saturday after todays game we need to win out.
probotic
This is great! I just spent 30 minutes doing this in my head and still missed many of these scenarios.
Cogentleman
Regardless of if we win the chip or lose out and get blown out in round one, I feel convinced the right thing to do is bring back this same squad as best as can be afforded and run it back next year.
crispchestpass
one of the 9 seed scenarios isn’t possible. specifically, the one that has the pelicans and the wolves winning out, as they play eachother.
LAFAN4LYFE
Iām looking forward to seeing this core mature together.
ARClNGSS
I just don’t want the Warriors to get the 6th seed. That team always gets a easy path with injuries or unserious teams.
moneycarlo98
After the one correction as pointed out, Mods should sticky this post and OP keep updating with each game! Super helpful
UnloadedBakedPotato
u/ray3142 has 24 hours to respond
No-Equipment-20
Great post! Assuming all the scenarios are equally as likely (not true but Iām not going through the hassle of calculating the odds on every scenario)
– 10% chance at 9 seed
– 25% chance of 8 seed
– 30% chance of 7 seed
– 25% chance of 6 seed
– 10% chance of 5 seed
Edit: Again donāt take these odds seriously, not every scenario is as likely and weāre missing the scenarios in which Lakers win out (guarantees them 5 or 6). [Fivethirtyeight gives us a 92% chance to make the playoffs](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/lakers/) but I think thatās including the odds we get in through the playin
usingElectronics
Mods please pin so all the other posts can stop. This is great op
Trentrid
What if we beat LAC and then lose out? That scenario isnāt included
VirtualRiot-
This shows how important tonightās game is. We control our destiny more w a win rather than relying on other teams playing other games. I hope lebron n AD see this!!
Flow8405
legend. now i kind of want the 1st listed 6 seed scenario to play out. if lakers lose tonight
lakers lose vs clips, win out, warriors lose 1, clippers win at least 1
spidey_valkyrie
Good work. It feels good knowing that realistic worst case, (i’m not entertaining lakers losing out) is really the 8th seed.
blu_marlin
Thanks for your work here. It is nice to see this on paper.
LiteralGoat24
Heroes donāt wear capes.. they post this clutch information on the Lakers subreddit. I salute you sir š«”
P_gaab
Fuck u to all nba redditers saying Lakers fans arenāt true Fanatics. This dude is a prime example of being a fanatic.
richard_golbes
Can you fix the error that was pointed out and repost?
This is very helpful, thank you.
yoyoyocoolcatbromate
Missing if we beat LAC and lose the next two.
joey5280
Thanks for this, literally couldnāt find a 6th seed scenario anywhere
redaka0
Thanks for making this chart, it’s way better than me randomly guessing lol
sshadowalkerr
fuck it we getting the 1st seed at this rate
GamerRav
Really good work OP. I mean looking at this it’s pretty clear, tonight is about as much of a must win as it can be without it actually being a must win. A win today gives us a phenomenal chance of avoiding the play-in. A loss almost guarantees we will be in the play-in.
CultExterminator
I think we all want to beat the Clippers and also retain the 6th seed. So our best outcome is Section 2.B2.C1. If we want the Clippers to play the Suns then Section 2.B1.C2.
26 Comments
this is great – thank you!
TY!!!
6 SEED WOULD BE GREAT
So basically if the warriors or clippers win Friday/Saturday after todays game we need to win out.
This is great! I just spent 30 minutes doing this in my head and still missed many of these scenarios.
Regardless of if we win the chip or lose out and get blown out in round one, I feel convinced the right thing to do is bring back this same squad as best as can be afforded and run it back next year.
one of the 9 seed scenarios isn’t possible. specifically, the one that has the pelicans and the wolves winning out, as they play eachother.
Iām looking forward to seeing this core mature together.
I just don’t want the Warriors to get the 6th seed. That team always gets a easy path with injuries or unserious teams.
After the one correction as pointed out, Mods should sticky this post and OP keep updating with each game! Super helpful
u/ray3142 has 24 hours to respond
Great post! Assuming all the scenarios are equally as likely (not true but Iām not going through the hassle of calculating the odds on every scenario)
– 10% chance at 9 seed
– 25% chance of 8 seed
– 30% chance of 7 seed
– 25% chance of 6 seed
– 10% chance of 5 seed
Edit: Again donāt take these odds seriously, not every scenario is as likely and weāre missing the scenarios in which Lakers win out (guarantees them 5 or 6). [Fivethirtyeight gives us a 92% chance to make the playoffs](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2023-nba-predictions/lakers/) but I think thatās including the odds we get in through the playin
Mods please pin so all the other posts can stop. This is great op
What if we beat LAC and then lose out? That scenario isnāt included
This shows how important tonightās game is. We control our destiny more w a win rather than relying on other teams playing other games. I hope lebron n AD see this!!
legend. now i kind of want the 1st listed 6 seed scenario to play out. if lakers lose tonight
lakers lose vs clips, win out, warriors lose 1, clippers win at least 1
Good work. It feels good knowing that realistic worst case, (i’m not entertaining lakers losing out) is really the 8th seed.
Thanks for your work here. It is nice to see this on paper.
Heroes donāt wear capes.. they post this clutch information on the Lakers subreddit. I salute you sir š«”
Fuck u to all nba redditers saying Lakers fans arenāt true Fanatics. This dude is a prime example of being a fanatic.
Can you fix the error that was pointed out and repost?
This is very helpful, thank you.
Missing if we beat LAC and lose the next two.
Thanks for this, literally couldnāt find a 6th seed scenario anywhere
Thanks for making this chart, it’s way better than me randomly guessing lol
fuck it we getting the 1st seed at this rate
Really good work OP. I mean looking at this it’s pretty clear, tonight is about as much of a must win as it can be without it actually being a must win. A win today gives us a phenomenal chance of avoiding the play-in. A loss almost guarantees we will be in the play-in.
I think we all want to beat the Clippers and also retain the 6th seed. So our best outcome is Section 2.B2.C1. If we want the Clippers to play the Suns then Section 2.B1.C2.